Online Bayesian Learning of Agent Behavior in Differential Games

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Bianchin, Francesco, Lefringhausen, Robert, Hirche, Sandra
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author Bianchin, Francesco
Lefringhausen, Robert
Hirche, Sandra
author_facet Bianchin, Francesco
Lefringhausen, Robert
Hirche, Sandra
contents This work introduces an online Bayesian game-theoretic method for behavior identification in multi-agent dynamical systems. By casting Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman optimality conditions as linear-in-parameter residuals, the method enables fast sequential Bayesian updates, uncertainty-aware inference, and robust prediction from limited, noisy data-without history stacks. The approach accommodates nonlinear dynamics and nonquadratic value functions through basis expansions, providing flexible models. Experiments, including linear-quadratic and nonlinear shared-control scenarios, demonstrate accurate prediction with quantified uncertainty, highlighting the method's relevance for adaptive interaction and real-time decision making.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_05087
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Online Bayesian Learning of Agent Behavior in Differential Games
Bianchin, Francesco
Lefringhausen, Robert
Hirche, Sandra
Systems and Control
This work introduces an online Bayesian game-theoretic method for behavior identification in multi-agent dynamical systems. By casting Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman optimality conditions as linear-in-parameter residuals, the method enables fast sequential Bayesian updates, uncertainty-aware inference, and robust prediction from limited, noisy data-without history stacks. The approach accommodates nonlinear dynamics and nonquadratic value functions through basis expansions, providing flexible models. Experiments, including linear-quadratic and nonlinear shared-control scenarios, demonstrate accurate prediction with quantified uncertainty, highlighting the method's relevance for adaptive interaction and real-time decision making.
title Online Bayesian Learning of Agent Behavior in Differential Games
topic Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.05087