From Hawkes Processes to Attention: Time-Modulated Mechanisms for Event Sequences

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Tan, Xinzi, Zhang, Kejian, Yu, Junhan, Zhou, Doudou
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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author Tan, Xinzi
Zhang, Kejian
Yu, Junhan
Zhou, Doudou
author_facet Tan, Xinzi
Zhang, Kejian
Yu, Junhan
Zhou, Doudou
contents Marked Temporal Point Processes (MTPPs) arise naturally in medical, social, commercial, and financial domains. However, existing Transformer-based methods mostly inject temporal information only via positional encodings, relying on shared or parametric decay structures, which limits their ability to capture heterogeneous and type-specific temporal effects. Inspired by this observation, we derive a novel attention operator called Hawkes Attention from the multivariate Hawkes process theory for MTPP, using learnable per-type neural kernels to modulate query, key and value projections, thereby replacing the corresponding parts in the traditional attention. Benefited from the design, Hawkes Attention unifies event timing and content interaction, learning both the time-relevant behavior and type-specific excitation patterns from the data. The experimental results show that our method achieves better performance compared to the baselines. In addition to the general MTPP, our attention mechanism can also be easily applied to specific temporal structures, such as time series forecasting.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_09220
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle From Hawkes Processes to Attention: Time-Modulated Mechanisms for Event Sequences
Tan, Xinzi
Zhang, Kejian
Yu, Junhan
Zhou, Doudou
Machine Learning
Statistics Theory
Applications
Marked Temporal Point Processes (MTPPs) arise naturally in medical, social, commercial, and financial domains. However, existing Transformer-based methods mostly inject temporal information only via positional encodings, relying on shared or parametric decay structures, which limits their ability to capture heterogeneous and type-specific temporal effects. Inspired by this observation, we derive a novel attention operator called Hawkes Attention from the multivariate Hawkes process theory for MTPP, using learnable per-type neural kernels to modulate query, key and value projections, thereby replacing the corresponding parts in the traditional attention. Benefited from the design, Hawkes Attention unifies event timing and content interaction, learning both the time-relevant behavior and type-specific excitation patterns from the data. The experimental results show that our method achieves better performance compared to the baselines. In addition to the general MTPP, our attention mechanism can also be easily applied to specific temporal structures, such as time series forecasting.
title From Hawkes Processes to Attention: Time-Modulated Mechanisms for Event Sequences
topic Machine Learning
Statistics Theory
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.09220