TimeSAE: Sparse Decoding for Faithful Explanations of Black-Box Time Series Models

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Oublal, Khalid, Bouniot, Quentin, Gan, Qi, Clémençon, Stephan, Akata, Zeynep
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2026
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author Oublal, Khalid
Bouniot, Quentin
Gan, Qi
Clémençon, Stephan
Akata, Zeynep
author_facet Oublal, Khalid
Bouniot, Quentin
Gan, Qi
Clémençon, Stephan
Akata, Zeynep
contents As black box models and pretrained models gain traction in time series applications, understanding and explaining their predictions becomes increasingly vital, especially in high-stakes domains where interpretability and trust are essential. However, most of the existing methods involve only in-distribution explanation, and do not generalize outside the training support, which requires the learning capability of generalization. In this work, we aim to provide a framework to explain black-box models for time series data through the dual lenses of Sparse Autoencoders (SAEs) and causality. We show that many current explanation methods are sensitive to distributional shifts, limiting their effectiveness in real-world scenarios. Building on the concept of Sparse Autoencoder, we introduce TimeSAE, a framework for black-box model explanation. We conduct extensive evaluations of TimeSAE on both synthetic and real-world time series datasets, comparing it to leading baselines. The results, supported by both quantitative metrics and qualitative insights, show that TimeSAE provides more faithful and robust explanations. Our code is available in an easy-to-use library TimeSAE-Lib: https://anonymous.4open.science/w/TimeSAE-571D/.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_09776
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle TimeSAE: Sparse Decoding for Faithful Explanations of Black-Box Time Series Models
Oublal, Khalid
Bouniot, Quentin
Gan, Qi
Clémençon, Stephan
Akata, Zeynep
Machine Learning
As black box models and pretrained models gain traction in time series applications, understanding and explaining their predictions becomes increasingly vital, especially in high-stakes domains where interpretability and trust are essential. However, most of the existing methods involve only in-distribution explanation, and do not generalize outside the training support, which requires the learning capability of generalization. In this work, we aim to provide a framework to explain black-box models for time series data through the dual lenses of Sparse Autoencoders (SAEs) and causality. We show that many current explanation methods are sensitive to distributional shifts, limiting their effectiveness in real-world scenarios. Building on the concept of Sparse Autoencoder, we introduce TimeSAE, a framework for black-box model explanation. We conduct extensive evaluations of TimeSAE on both synthetic and real-world time series datasets, comparing it to leading baselines. The results, supported by both quantitative metrics and qualitative insights, show that TimeSAE provides more faithful and robust explanations. Our code is available in an easy-to-use library TimeSAE-Lib: https://anonymous.4open.science/w/TimeSAE-571D/.
title TimeSAE: Sparse Decoding for Faithful Explanations of Black-Box Time Series Models
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.09776