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Autori principali: Wu, Junjie, Sun, Ning-Chen, Niu, Zexi, Zhang, Tianmang, Chen, Chun, Chen, Xiaohan, Elias-Rosa, Nancy, Fraser, Morgan, Hong, Xinyi, Maund, Justyn, Rojas-Bravo, Cesar, Wang, Anyu, Wang, Beichuan, Wang, Ziyang, Xi, Qiang, Zhang, Linxi, Zhang, Yinuo
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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Accesso online:https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.10121
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author Wu, Junjie
Sun, Ning-Chen
Niu, Zexi
Zhang, Tianmang
Chen, Chun
Chen, Xiaohan
Elias-Rosa, Nancy
Fraser, Morgan
Hong, Xinyi
Maund, Justyn
Rojas-Bravo, Cesar
Wang, Anyu
Wang, Beichuan
Wang, Ziyang
Xi, Qiang
Zhang, Linxi
Zhang, Yinuo
author_facet Wu, Junjie
Sun, Ning-Chen
Niu, Zexi
Zhang, Tianmang
Chen, Chun
Chen, Xiaohan
Elias-Rosa, Nancy
Fraser, Morgan
Hong, Xinyi
Maund, Justyn
Rojas-Bravo, Cesar
Wang, Anyu
Wang, Beichuan
Wang, Ziyang
Xi, Qiang
Zhang, Linxi
Zhang, Yinuo
contents A central goal in supernova (SN) research is to identify and characterize their progenitors. However, this is very difficult due to the limited archival images with sufficient depth and spatial resolution required for direct progenitor detection and due to the circumstellar dust which often biases the estimate of their intrinsic parameters. This field will be revolutionized by Euclid and the upcoming Chinese Space Station Survey Telescope (CSST), which conduct deep, wide-field, high-resolution and multi-band imaging surveys. We analyze their detection capability by comparing the model magnitudes of red supergiant (RSG) progenitors with the detection limits under different conditions, and we estimate the annual detection rates with Monte-Carlo simulations. We explore how to recover the intrinsic properties of SN progenitors with the help of radiation transfer calculations in circumstellar dust. We find the optical and near-infrared filters of the Euclid and CSST are highly effective for detecting RSG progenitors. We predict that archival images from the completed 2 surveys will enable $\lesssim13$ (or 24) progenitor detections per year within the mass range of 8--16 (or 8--25)M_\odot, an order of magnitude higher than the current detection rate of $\sim1$ detection per year. In the presence of circumstellar dust, the emerging spectral energy distribution (SED) of the progenitor is mainly affected by the optical depth and is almost independent of dust temperature in the Euclid and CSST filters. Our mock tests demonstrate that one can derive the progenitor mass and dust optical depth simultaneously by fitting the observed SED over the 11 filters of the 2 surveys while fixing the dust temperature to a typical value. Euclid and CSST will significantly enlarge the sample of direct progenitor detections with accurate mass measurements, which is crucial to resolve the long-standing RSG problem.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_10121
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Direct Detection of Type II-P Supernova Progenitors with the Euclid and CSST Surveys
Wu, Junjie
Sun, Ning-Chen
Niu, Zexi
Zhang, Tianmang
Chen, Chun
Chen, Xiaohan
Elias-Rosa, Nancy
Fraser, Morgan
Hong, Xinyi
Maund, Justyn
Rojas-Bravo, Cesar
Wang, Anyu
Wang, Beichuan
Wang, Ziyang
Xi, Qiang
Zhang, Linxi
Zhang, Yinuo
Solar and Stellar Astrophysics
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
A central goal in supernova (SN) research is to identify and characterize their progenitors. However, this is very difficult due to the limited archival images with sufficient depth and spatial resolution required for direct progenitor detection and due to the circumstellar dust which often biases the estimate of their intrinsic parameters. This field will be revolutionized by Euclid and the upcoming Chinese Space Station Survey Telescope (CSST), which conduct deep, wide-field, high-resolution and multi-band imaging surveys. We analyze their detection capability by comparing the model magnitudes of red supergiant (RSG) progenitors with the detection limits under different conditions, and we estimate the annual detection rates with Monte-Carlo simulations. We explore how to recover the intrinsic properties of SN progenitors with the help of radiation transfer calculations in circumstellar dust. We find the optical and near-infrared filters of the Euclid and CSST are highly effective for detecting RSG progenitors. We predict that archival images from the completed 2 surveys will enable $\lesssim13$ (or 24) progenitor detections per year within the mass range of 8--16 (or 8--25)M_\odot, an order of magnitude higher than the current detection rate of $\sim1$ detection per year. In the presence of circumstellar dust, the emerging spectral energy distribution (SED) of the progenitor is mainly affected by the optical depth and is almost independent of dust temperature in the Euclid and CSST filters. Our mock tests demonstrate that one can derive the progenitor mass and dust optical depth simultaneously by fitting the observed SED over the 11 filters of the 2 surveys while fixing the dust temperature to a typical value. Euclid and CSST will significantly enlarge the sample of direct progenitor detections with accurate mass measurements, which is crucial to resolve the long-standing RSG problem.
title Direct Detection of Type II-P Supernova Progenitors with the Euclid and CSST Surveys
topic Solar and Stellar Astrophysics
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.10121