Model-Agnostic and Uncertainty-Aware Dimensionality Reduction in Supervised Learning

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Hauptverfasser: Yu, Yue, Wang, Guanghui, Liu, Liu, Zou, Changliang
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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author Yu, Yue
Wang, Guanghui
Liu, Liu
Zou, Changliang
author_facet Yu, Yue
Wang, Guanghui
Liu, Liu
Zou, Changliang
contents Dimension reduction is a fundamental tool for analyzing high-dimensional data in supervised learning. Traditional methods for estimating intrinsic order often prioritize model-specific structural assumptions over predictive utility. This paper introduces predictive order determination (POD), a model-agnostic framework that determines the minimal predictively sufficient dimension by directly evaluating out-of-sample predictiveness. POD quantifies uncertainty via error bounds for over- and underestimation and achieves consistency under mild conditions. By unifying dimension reduction with predictive performance, POD applies flexibly across diverse reduction tasks and supervised learners. Simulations and real-data analyses show that POD delivers accurate, uncertainty-aware order estimates, making it a versatile component for prediction-centric pipelines.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_10357
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Model-Agnostic and Uncertainty-Aware Dimensionality Reduction in Supervised Learning
Yu, Yue
Wang, Guanghui
Liu, Liu
Zou, Changliang
Methodology
Statistics Theory
Dimension reduction is a fundamental tool for analyzing high-dimensional data in supervised learning. Traditional methods for estimating intrinsic order often prioritize model-specific structural assumptions over predictive utility. This paper introduces predictive order determination (POD), a model-agnostic framework that determines the minimal predictively sufficient dimension by directly evaluating out-of-sample predictiveness. POD quantifies uncertainty via error bounds for over- and underestimation and achieves consistency under mild conditions. By unifying dimension reduction with predictive performance, POD applies flexibly across diverse reduction tasks and supervised learners. Simulations and real-data analyses show that POD delivers accurate, uncertainty-aware order estimates, making it a versatile component for prediction-centric pipelines.
title Model-Agnostic and Uncertainty-Aware Dimensionality Reduction in Supervised Learning
topic Methodology
Statistics Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.10357