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Hauptverfasser: Mao, Jiayu, Sun, Ruoyu, Poletti, Mark, Gandotra, Rahil, Guo, Hao, Yener, Aylin
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.11742
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author Mao, Jiayu
Sun, Ruoyu
Poletti, Mark
Gandotra, Rahil
Guo, Hao
Yener, Aylin
author_facet Mao, Jiayu
Sun, Ruoyu
Poletti, Mark
Gandotra, Rahil
Guo, Hao
Yener, Aylin
contents Spectrum occupancy prediction is a critical enabler for real-time and proactive dynamic spectrum sharing (DSS), as it can provide short-term channel availability information to support more efficient spectrum access decisions in wireless communication systems. Instead of relying on open-source datasets or simulated data, commonly used in the literature, this paper investigates short-horizon spectrum occupancy prediction using mid-band, 24X7 real-world spectrum measurement data collected in the United States. We construct a multi-band channel occupancy dataset through analyzing 61 days of empirical data and formulate a next-minute channel occupancy prediction task across all frequency channels. This study focuses on AI-driven prediction methods, including Random Forest, Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network, and compares their performance against a conventional Markov chain-based statistical baseline. Numerical results show that learning-based methods outperform the statistical baseline on dynamic channels, particularly under fixed false-alarm constraints. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of AI-driven spectrum occupancy prediction, indicating that lightweight learning models can effectively support future deployment-oriented DSS systems.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_11742
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle AI-Driven Spectrum Occupancy Prediction Using Real-World Spectrum Measurements
Mao, Jiayu
Sun, Ruoyu
Poletti, Mark
Gandotra, Rahil
Guo, Hao
Yener, Aylin
Signal Processing
Spectrum occupancy prediction is a critical enabler for real-time and proactive dynamic spectrum sharing (DSS), as it can provide short-term channel availability information to support more efficient spectrum access decisions in wireless communication systems. Instead of relying on open-source datasets or simulated data, commonly used in the literature, this paper investigates short-horizon spectrum occupancy prediction using mid-band, 24X7 real-world spectrum measurement data collected in the United States. We construct a multi-band channel occupancy dataset through analyzing 61 days of empirical data and formulate a next-minute channel occupancy prediction task across all frequency channels. This study focuses on AI-driven prediction methods, including Random Forest, Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network, and compares their performance against a conventional Markov chain-based statistical baseline. Numerical results show that learning-based methods outperform the statistical baseline on dynamic channels, particularly under fixed false-alarm constraints. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of AI-driven spectrum occupancy prediction, indicating that lightweight learning models can effectively support future deployment-oriented DSS systems.
title AI-Driven Spectrum Occupancy Prediction Using Real-World Spectrum Measurements
topic Signal Processing
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.11742