Block-Fitness Modeling of the Global Air Mobility Network

Fuente: arXiv
Guardado en:
Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Fischetti, Giulia, Mancini, Anna, Cimini, Giulio, Davis, Jessica T., Leung, Abby, Vespignani, Alessandro, Caldarelli, Guido
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2026
Materias:
Acceso en línea:
Etiquetas: Agregar Etiqueta
Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!
_version_ 1866908776330690560
author Fischetti, Giulia
Mancini, Anna
Cimini, Giulio
Davis, Jessica T.
Leung, Abby
Vespignani, Alessandro
Caldarelli, Guido
author_facet Fischetti, Giulia
Mancini, Anna
Cimini, Giulio
Davis, Jessica T.
Leung, Abby
Vespignani, Alessandro
Caldarelli, Guido
contents Accurate representations of the World Air Transportation Network (WAN) are fundamental inputs to models of global mobility, epidemic risk, and infrastructure planning. However, high-resolution, real-time data on the WAN are largely commercial and proprietary, therefore often inaccessible to the research community. Here we introduce a generative model of the WAN that treats air travel as a stochastic process within a maximum-entropy framework. The model uses airport-level passenger flows to probabilistically generate connections while preserving traffic volumes across geographic regions. The resulting reconstructed networks reproduce key structural properties of the WAN and enable simulations of dynamic spreading that closely match those obtained using the real network. Our approach provides a scalable, interpretable, and computationally efficient framework for forecasting and policy design in global mobility systems.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_13867
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Block-Fitness Modeling of the Global Air Mobility Network
Fischetti, Giulia
Mancini, Anna
Cimini, Giulio
Davis, Jessica T.
Leung, Abby
Vespignani, Alessandro
Caldarelli, Guido
Physics and Society
Social and Information Networks
Accurate representations of the World Air Transportation Network (WAN) are fundamental inputs to models of global mobility, epidemic risk, and infrastructure planning. However, high-resolution, real-time data on the WAN are largely commercial and proprietary, therefore often inaccessible to the research community. Here we introduce a generative model of the WAN that treats air travel as a stochastic process within a maximum-entropy framework. The model uses airport-level passenger flows to probabilistically generate connections while preserving traffic volumes across geographic regions. The resulting reconstructed networks reproduce key structural properties of the WAN and enable simulations of dynamic spreading that closely match those obtained using the real network. Our approach provides a scalable, interpretable, and computationally efficient framework for forecasting and policy design in global mobility systems.
title Block-Fitness Modeling of the Global Air Mobility Network
topic Physics and Society
Social and Information Networks
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.13867