Trade relationships during and after a crisis

Fuente: arXiv
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1. Verfasser: Martinez, Alejandra
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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_version_ 1866914615141597184
author Martinez, Alejandra
author_facet Martinez, Alejandra
contents This paper provides causal evidence that temporary supply disruptions reshape firms' relationship portfolios in international trade. Using exogenous road disruptions during Colombia's 2010-11 La Niña episode, I identify exposure at the buyer-seller relationship level, exploiting variation within importers' supplier portfolios. Exposed relationships are less likely to terminate when importers have alternative non-exposed suppliers. However, firms with broader portfolio exposure gradually reduce their relationship networks and may eventually exit the market. A framework linking relationship surplus to portfolio composition explains these contrasting responses and shows how the same shock generates opposite effects at relationship and firm levels.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_14150
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Trade relationships during and after a crisis
Martinez, Alejandra
General Economics
Economics
This paper provides causal evidence that temporary supply disruptions reshape firms' relationship portfolios in international trade. Using exogenous road disruptions during Colombia's 2010-11 La Niña episode, I identify exposure at the buyer-seller relationship level, exploiting variation within importers' supplier portfolios. Exposed relationships are less likely to terminate when importers have alternative non-exposed suppliers. However, firms with broader portfolio exposure gradually reduce their relationship networks and may eventually exit the market. A framework linking relationship surplus to portfolio composition explains these contrasting responses and shows how the same shock generates opposite effects at relationship and firm levels.
title Trade relationships during and after a crisis
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.14150