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Hauptverfasser: Zhang, Jianshu, Qian, Chengxuan, Sun, Haosen, Lu, Haoran, Wang, Dingcheng, Xue, Letian, Liu, Han
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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Online-Zugang:https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.15224
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author Zhang, Jianshu
Qian, Chengxuan
Sun, Haosen
Lu, Haoran
Wang, Dingcheng
Xue, Letian
Liu, Han
author_facet Zhang, Jianshu
Qian, Chengxuan
Sun, Haosen
Lu, Haoran
Wang, Dingcheng
Xue, Letian
Liu, Han
contents Estimating task progress requires reasoning over long-horizon dynamics rather than recognizing static visual content. While modern Vision-Language Models (VLMs) excel at describing what is visible, it remains unclear whether they can infer how far a task has progressed from partial observations. To this end, we introduce Progress-Bench, a benchmark for systematically evaluating progress reasoning in VLMs. Beyond benchmarking, we further explore a human-inspired two-stage progress reasoning paradigm through both training-free prompting and training-based approach based on curated dataset ProgressLM-45K. Experiments on 14 VLMs show that most models are not yet ready for task progress estimation, exhibiting sensitivity to demonstration modality and viewpoint changes, as well as poor handling of unanswerable cases. While training-free prompting that enforces structured progress reasoning yields limited and model-dependent gains, the training-based ProgressLM-3B achieves consistent improvements even at a small model scale, despite being trained on a task set fully disjoint from the evaluation tasks. Further analyses reveal characteristic error patterns and clarify when and why progress reasoning succeeds or fails. Website: https://progresslm.github.io/ProgressLM/
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_15224
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle PROGRESSLM: Towards Progress Reasoning in Vision-Language Models
Zhang, Jianshu
Qian, Chengxuan
Sun, Haosen
Lu, Haoran
Wang, Dingcheng
Xue, Letian
Liu, Han
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Computation and Language
Estimating task progress requires reasoning over long-horizon dynamics rather than recognizing static visual content. While modern Vision-Language Models (VLMs) excel at describing what is visible, it remains unclear whether they can infer how far a task has progressed from partial observations. To this end, we introduce Progress-Bench, a benchmark for systematically evaluating progress reasoning in VLMs. Beyond benchmarking, we further explore a human-inspired two-stage progress reasoning paradigm through both training-free prompting and training-based approach based on curated dataset ProgressLM-45K. Experiments on 14 VLMs show that most models are not yet ready for task progress estimation, exhibiting sensitivity to demonstration modality and viewpoint changes, as well as poor handling of unanswerable cases. While training-free prompting that enforces structured progress reasoning yields limited and model-dependent gains, the training-based ProgressLM-3B achieves consistent improvements even at a small model scale, despite being trained on a task set fully disjoint from the evaluation tasks. Further analyses reveal characteristic error patterns and clarify when and why progress reasoning succeeds or fails. Website: https://progresslm.github.io/ProgressLM/
title PROGRESSLM: Towards Progress Reasoning in Vision-Language Models
topic Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Computation and Language
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.15224