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Main Author: Simas, Tristan
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.15571
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author Simas, Tristan
author_facet Simas, Tristan
contents We characterize which coordinates of a factored state space determine optimal actions. For $\mathcal{D}=(A,S,U)$ with $S=X_1\times\cdots\times X_n$, coordinate set $I$ is sufficient if $s_I=s'_I\Rightarrow\operatorname{Opt}(s)=\operatorname{Opt}(s')$. The decision quotient $Q=S/{\sim}$ ($s\sim s'\Leftrightarrow\operatorname{Opt}(s)=\operatorname{Opt}(s')$) is the minimal abstraction: any abstraction preserving optimal actions factors uniquely through $Q$. We prove fourteen first-principles theorems (thirteen from pure mathematics, one empirical). The chain from counting measure to probability to Bayes' theorem to $Q$ follows from finite set cardinality. Fisher information, entropy, optimal transport, rate-distortion, and thermodynamics each independently recover $\mathrm{srank}$ as decision complexity measure. From $\log x\leq x-1$ alone, Bayesian updating uniquely minimizes expected log loss. Complexity: SUFFICIENCY-CHECK and MINIMUM-SUFFICIENT-SET are coNP-complete; ANCHOR-SUFFICIENCY is $Σ_2^P$-complete; stochastic and sequential variants PP- and PSPACE-complete with strict separation. Six subcases admit polynomial algorithms. Under ETH, succinct encodings carry $2^{Ω(n)}$ lower bounds. Verification requires $\geq 2^{n-1}$ witness pairs. Two results carry empirical conditions. Conditional on Landauer's principle ($k_BT\ln 2$ per bit erasure; experimentally confirmed 2012), $dU\geqλ\,dC$ follows by composition with bit-operation bounds; rejecting it requires rejecting Landauer. Conditional on stochastic thermodynamics (Barato--Seifert 2015), $\mathrm{Var}(J)/\langle J\rangle^2\geq 2/σ$ bounds decision precision by entropy production, minimal $σ$ scaling with $\mathrm{srank}$.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_15571
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Computational Complexity of Physical Counting
Simas, Tristan
Computational Complexity
Logic in Computer Science
Mathematical Physics
Category Theory
82B35, 20C35, 68Q15, 68Q17, 94A15, 94A17, 03B35, 82B31, 20B30
F.1.3; F.2.2; G.2.1; H.1.1; I.2.3
We characterize which coordinates of a factored state space determine optimal actions. For $\mathcal{D}=(A,S,U)$ with $S=X_1\times\cdots\times X_n$, coordinate set $I$ is sufficient if $s_I=s'_I\Rightarrow\operatorname{Opt}(s)=\operatorname{Opt}(s')$. The decision quotient $Q=S/{\sim}$ ($s\sim s'\Leftrightarrow\operatorname{Opt}(s)=\operatorname{Opt}(s')$) is the minimal abstraction: any abstraction preserving optimal actions factors uniquely through $Q$. We prove fourteen first-principles theorems (thirteen from pure mathematics, one empirical). The chain from counting measure to probability to Bayes' theorem to $Q$ follows from finite set cardinality. Fisher information, entropy, optimal transport, rate-distortion, and thermodynamics each independently recover $\mathrm{srank}$ as decision complexity measure. From $\log x\leq x-1$ alone, Bayesian updating uniquely minimizes expected log loss. Complexity: SUFFICIENCY-CHECK and MINIMUM-SUFFICIENT-SET are coNP-complete; ANCHOR-SUFFICIENCY is $Σ_2^P$-complete; stochastic and sequential variants PP- and PSPACE-complete with strict separation. Six subcases admit polynomial algorithms. Under ETH, succinct encodings carry $2^{Ω(n)}$ lower bounds. Verification requires $\geq 2^{n-1}$ witness pairs. Two results carry empirical conditions. Conditional on Landauer's principle ($k_BT\ln 2$ per bit erasure; experimentally confirmed 2012), $dU\geqλ\,dC$ follows by composition with bit-operation bounds; rejecting it requires rejecting Landauer. Conditional on stochastic thermodynamics (Barato--Seifert 2015), $\mathrm{Var}(J)/\langle J\rangle^2\geq 2/σ$ bounds decision precision by entropy production, minimal $σ$ scaling with $\mathrm{srank}$.
title Computational Complexity of Physical Counting
topic Computational Complexity
Logic in Computer Science
Mathematical Physics
Category Theory
82B35, 20C35, 68Q15, 68Q17, 94A15, 94A17, 03B35, 82B31, 20B30
F.1.3; F.2.2; G.2.1; H.1.1; I.2.3
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.15571