Generating Literature-Driven Scientific Theories at Scale

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Jansen, Peter, Clark, Peter, Downey, Doug, Weld, Daniel S.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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author Jansen, Peter
Clark, Peter
Downey, Doug
Weld, Daniel S.
author_facet Jansen, Peter
Clark, Peter
Downey, Doug
Weld, Daniel S.
contents Contemporary automated scientific discovery has focused on agents for generating scientific experiments, while systems that perform higher-level scientific activities such as theory building remain underexplored. In this work, we formulate the problem of synthesizing theories consisting of qualitative and quantitative laws from large corpora of scientific literature. We study theory generation at scale, using 13.7k source papers to synthesize 2.9k theories, examining how generation using literature-grounding versus parametric knowledge, and accuracy-focused versus novelty-focused generation objectives change theory properties. Our experiments show that, compared to using parametric LLM memory for generation, our literature-supported method creates theories that are significantly better at both matching existing evidence and at predicting future results from 4.6k subsequently-written papers
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_16282
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Generating Literature-Driven Scientific Theories at Scale
Jansen, Peter
Clark, Peter
Downey, Doug
Weld, Daniel S.
Computation and Language
Artificial Intelligence
Contemporary automated scientific discovery has focused on agents for generating scientific experiments, while systems that perform higher-level scientific activities such as theory building remain underexplored. In this work, we formulate the problem of synthesizing theories consisting of qualitative and quantitative laws from large corpora of scientific literature. We study theory generation at scale, using 13.7k source papers to synthesize 2.9k theories, examining how generation using literature-grounding versus parametric knowledge, and accuracy-focused versus novelty-focused generation objectives change theory properties. Our experiments show that, compared to using parametric LLM memory for generation, our literature-supported method creates theories that are significantly better at both matching existing evidence and at predicting future results from 4.6k subsequently-written papers
title Generating Literature-Driven Scientific Theories at Scale
topic Computation and Language
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.16282