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Main Authors: Gil-Leyva, María F., Lijoi, Antonio, Mena, Ramsés H., Prünster, Igor
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.16561
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author Gil-Leyva, María F.
Lijoi, Antonio
Mena, Ramsés H.
Prünster, Igor
author_facet Gil-Leyva, María F.
Lijoi, Antonio
Mena, Ramsés H.
Prünster, Igor
contents Stick-breaking has a long history and is one of the most popular procedures for constructing random discrete distributions in Statistics and Machine Learning. In particular, due to their intuitive construction and computational tractability they are ubiquitous in modern Bayesian nonparametric inference. Most widely used models, such as the Dirichlet and the Pitman-Yor processes, rely on iid or independent length variables. Here we pursue a completely unexplored research direction by considering Markov length variables and investigate the corresponding general class of stick-breaking processes, which we term Markov stick-breaking processes. We establish conditions under which the associated species sampling process is proper and the distribution of a Markov stick-breaking process has full topological support, two fundamental desiderata for Bayesian nonparametric models. We also analyze the stochastic ordering of the weights and provide a new characterization of the Pitman-Yor process as the only stick-breaking process invariant under size-biased permutations, under mild conditions. Moreover, we identify two notable subclasses of Markov stick-breaking processes that enjoy appealing properties and include Dirichlet, Pitman-Yor and Geometric priors as special cases. Our findings include distributional results enabling posterior inference algorithms and methodological insights.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_16561
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Markov Stick-breaking Processes
Gil-Leyva, María F.
Lijoi, Antonio
Mena, Ramsés H.
Prünster, Igor
Statistics Theory
Stick-breaking has a long history and is one of the most popular procedures for constructing random discrete distributions in Statistics and Machine Learning. In particular, due to their intuitive construction and computational tractability they are ubiquitous in modern Bayesian nonparametric inference. Most widely used models, such as the Dirichlet and the Pitman-Yor processes, rely on iid or independent length variables. Here we pursue a completely unexplored research direction by considering Markov length variables and investigate the corresponding general class of stick-breaking processes, which we term Markov stick-breaking processes. We establish conditions under which the associated species sampling process is proper and the distribution of a Markov stick-breaking process has full topological support, two fundamental desiderata for Bayesian nonparametric models. We also analyze the stochastic ordering of the weights and provide a new characterization of the Pitman-Yor process as the only stick-breaking process invariant under size-biased permutations, under mild conditions. Moreover, we identify two notable subclasses of Markov stick-breaking processes that enjoy appealing properties and include Dirichlet, Pitman-Yor and Geometric priors as special cases. Our findings include distributional results enabling posterior inference algorithms and methodological insights.
title Markov Stick-breaking Processes
topic Statistics Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.16561