Parametric Mean-Field empirical Bayes in high-dimensional linear regression

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Lee, Seunghyun, Deb, Nabarun
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2026
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author Lee, Seunghyun
Deb, Nabarun
author_facet Lee, Seunghyun
Deb, Nabarun
contents In this paper, we consider the problem of parametric empirical Bayes estimation of an i.i.d. prior in high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression, with random design. We obtain the asymptotic distribution of the variational Empirical Bayes (vEB) estimator, which approximately maximizes a variational lower bound of the intractable marginal likelihood. We characterize a sharp phase transition behavior for the vEB estimator -- namely that it is information theoretically optimal (in terms of limiting variance) up to $p=o(n^{2/3})$ while it suffers from a sub-optimal convergence rate in higher dimensions. In the first regime, i.e., when $p=o(n^{2/3})$, we show how the estimated prior can be calibrated to enable valid coordinate-wise and delocalized inference, both under the \emph{empirical Bayes posterior} and the oracle posterior. In the second regime, we propose a debiasing technique as a way to improve the performance of the vEB estimator beyond $p=o(n^{2/3})$. Extensive numerical experiments corroborate our theoretical findings.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_16842
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Parametric Mean-Field empirical Bayes in high-dimensional linear regression
Lee, Seunghyun
Deb, Nabarun
Statistics Theory
Machine Learning
In this paper, we consider the problem of parametric empirical Bayes estimation of an i.i.d. prior in high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression, with random design. We obtain the asymptotic distribution of the variational Empirical Bayes (vEB) estimator, which approximately maximizes a variational lower bound of the intractable marginal likelihood. We characterize a sharp phase transition behavior for the vEB estimator -- namely that it is information theoretically optimal (in terms of limiting variance) up to $p=o(n^{2/3})$ while it suffers from a sub-optimal convergence rate in higher dimensions. In the first regime, i.e., when $p=o(n^{2/3})$, we show how the estimated prior can be calibrated to enable valid coordinate-wise and delocalized inference, both under the \emph{empirical Bayes posterior} and the oracle posterior. In the second regime, we propose a debiasing technique as a way to improve the performance of the vEB estimator beyond $p=o(n^{2/3})$. Extensive numerical experiments corroborate our theoretical findings.
title Parametric Mean-Field empirical Bayes in high-dimensional linear regression
topic Statistics Theory
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.16842