Generative Chain of Behavior for User Trajectory Prediction

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Huang, Chengkai, Chen, Xiaodi, Huang, Hongtao, Sheng, Quan Z., Yao, Lina
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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_version_ 1866918305330102272
author Huang, Chengkai
Chen, Xiaodi
Huang, Hongtao
Sheng, Quan Z.
Yao, Lina
author_facet Huang, Chengkai
Chen, Xiaodi
Huang, Hongtao
Sheng, Quan Z.
Yao, Lina
contents Modeling long-term user behavior trajectories is essential for understanding evolving preferences and enabling proactive recommendations. However, most sequential recommenders focus on next-item prediction, overlooking dependencies across multiple future actions. We propose Generative Chain of Behavior (GCB), a generative framework that models user interactions as an autoregressive chain of semantic behaviors over multiple future steps. GCB first encodes items into semantic IDs via RQ-VAE with k-means refinement, forming a discrete latent space that preserves semantic proximity. On top of this space, a transformer-based autoregressive generator predicts multi-step future behaviors conditioned on user history, capturing long-horizon intent transitions and generating coherent trajectories. Experiments on benchmark datasets show that GCB consistently outperforms state-of-the-art sequential recommenders in multi-step accuracy and trajectory consistency. Beyond these gains, GCB offers a unified generative formulation for capturing user preference evolution.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_18213
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Generative Chain of Behavior for User Trajectory Prediction
Huang, Chengkai
Chen, Xiaodi
Huang, Hongtao
Sheng, Quan Z.
Yao, Lina
Information Retrieval
Modeling long-term user behavior trajectories is essential for understanding evolving preferences and enabling proactive recommendations. However, most sequential recommenders focus on next-item prediction, overlooking dependencies across multiple future actions. We propose Generative Chain of Behavior (GCB), a generative framework that models user interactions as an autoregressive chain of semantic behaviors over multiple future steps. GCB first encodes items into semantic IDs via RQ-VAE with k-means refinement, forming a discrete latent space that preserves semantic proximity. On top of this space, a transformer-based autoregressive generator predicts multi-step future behaviors conditioned on user history, capturing long-horizon intent transitions and generating coherent trajectories. Experiments on benchmark datasets show that GCB consistently outperforms state-of-the-art sequential recommenders in multi-step accuracy and trajectory consistency. Beyond these gains, GCB offers a unified generative formulation for capturing user preference evolution.
title Generative Chain of Behavior for User Trajectory Prediction
topic Information Retrieval
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.18213