Grasynda: Graph-based Synthetic Time Series Generation

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Amorim, Luis, Santos, Moises, Azevedo, Paulo J., Soares, Carlos, Cerqueira, Vitor
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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author Amorim, Luis
Santos, Moises
Azevedo, Paulo J.
Soares, Carlos
Cerqueira, Vitor
author_facet Amorim, Luis
Santos, Moises
Azevedo, Paulo J.
Soares, Carlos
Cerqueira, Vitor
contents Data augmentation is a crucial tool in time series forecasting, especially for deep learning architectures that require a large training sample size to generalize effectively. However, extensive datasets are not always available in real-world scenarios. Although many data augmentation methods exist, their limitations include the use of transformations that do not adequately preserve data properties. This paper introduces Grasynda, a novel graph-based approach for synthetic time series generation that: (1) converts univariate time series into a network structure using a graph representation, where each state is a node and each transition is represented as a directed edge; and (2) encodes their temporal dynamics in a transition probability matrix. We performed an extensive evaluation of Grasynda as a data augmentation method for time series forecasting. We use three neural network variations on six benchmark datasets. The results indicate that Grasynda consistently outperforms other time series data augmentation methods, including ones used in state-of-the-art time series foundation models. The method and all experiments are publicly available.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_19668
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Grasynda: Graph-based Synthetic Time Series Generation
Amorim, Luis
Santos, Moises
Azevedo, Paulo J.
Soares, Carlos
Cerqueira, Vitor
Machine Learning
Data augmentation is a crucial tool in time series forecasting, especially for deep learning architectures that require a large training sample size to generalize effectively. However, extensive datasets are not always available in real-world scenarios. Although many data augmentation methods exist, their limitations include the use of transformations that do not adequately preserve data properties. This paper introduces Grasynda, a novel graph-based approach for synthetic time series generation that: (1) converts univariate time series into a network structure using a graph representation, where each state is a node and each transition is represented as a directed edge; and (2) encodes their temporal dynamics in a transition probability matrix. We performed an extensive evaluation of Grasynda as a data augmentation method for time series forecasting. We use three neural network variations on six benchmark datasets. The results indicate that Grasynda consistently outperforms other time series data augmentation methods, including ones used in state-of-the-art time series foundation models. The method and all experiments are publicly available.
title Grasynda: Graph-based Synthetic Time Series Generation
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.19668