Optimal illness policy for an unethical daycare center

Fuente: arXiv
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Autor principal: Smith, Lauren D
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2026
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author Smith, Lauren D
author_facet Smith, Lauren D
contents While businesses are typically more profitable if their workers and communities are minimally exposed to diseases, the same is not true for daycare centers. Here it is shown that a daycare center could maximize its profits by maintaining a population of sick children within the center, with the intention to infect more children who then do not attend. Through a modification of the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model for disease spread we find the optimal number of sick children who should be kept within the center to maximize profits. We show that as disease infectiousness increases, the optimal attendance rate of sick children approaches zero, while the potential profit increases.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_20123
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Optimal illness policy for an unethical daycare center
Smith, Lauren D
Dynamical Systems
Populations and Evolution
While businesses are typically more profitable if their workers and communities are minimally exposed to diseases, the same is not true for daycare centers. Here it is shown that a daycare center could maximize its profits by maintaining a population of sick children within the center, with the intention to infect more children who then do not attend. Through a modification of the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model for disease spread we find the optimal number of sick children who should be kept within the center to maximize profits. We show that as disease infectiousness increases, the optimal attendance rate of sick children approaches zero, while the potential profit increases.
title Optimal illness policy for an unethical daycare center
topic Dynamical Systems
Populations and Evolution
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.20123