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Main Authors: Lee, Gawon, Park, Hanbyeol, Kim, Minseop, Kim, Dohee, Bae, Hyerim
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.20611
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author Lee, Gawon
Park, Hanbyeol
Kim, Minseop
Kim, Dohee
Bae, Hyerim
author_facet Lee, Gawon
Park, Hanbyeol
Kim, Minseop
Kim, Dohee
Bae, Hyerim
contents Time series forecasting (TSF) faces challenges in modeling complex intra-channel temporal dependencies and inter-channel correlations. Although recent research has highlighted the efficiency of linear architectures in capturing global trends, these models often struggle with non-linear signals. To address this gap, we conducted a systematic receptive field analysis of convolutional neural network (CNN) TSF models. We introduce the "individual receptive field" to uncover granular structural dependencies, revealing that convolutional layers act as feature extractors that mirror channel-wise attention while exhibiting superior robustness to non-linear fluctuations. Based on these insights, we propose ACFormer, an architecture designed to reconcile the efficiency of linear projections with the non-linear feature-extraction power of convolutions. ACFormer captures fine-grained information through a shared compression module, preserves temporal locality via gated attention, and reconstructs variable-specific temporal patterns using an independent patch expansion layer. Extensive experiments on multiple benchmark datasets demonstrate that ACFormer consistently achieves state-of-the-art performance, effectively mitigating the inherent drawbacks of linear models in capturing high-frequency components.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_20611
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle ACFormer: Mitigating Non-linearity with Auto Convolutional Encoder for Time Series Forecasting
Lee, Gawon
Park, Hanbyeol
Kim, Minseop
Kim, Dohee
Bae, Hyerim
Machine Learning
Time series forecasting (TSF) faces challenges in modeling complex intra-channel temporal dependencies and inter-channel correlations. Although recent research has highlighted the efficiency of linear architectures in capturing global trends, these models often struggle with non-linear signals. To address this gap, we conducted a systematic receptive field analysis of convolutional neural network (CNN) TSF models. We introduce the "individual receptive field" to uncover granular structural dependencies, revealing that convolutional layers act as feature extractors that mirror channel-wise attention while exhibiting superior robustness to non-linear fluctuations. Based on these insights, we propose ACFormer, an architecture designed to reconcile the efficiency of linear projections with the non-linear feature-extraction power of convolutions. ACFormer captures fine-grained information through a shared compression module, preserves temporal locality via gated attention, and reconstructs variable-specific temporal patterns using an independent patch expansion layer. Extensive experiments on multiple benchmark datasets demonstrate that ACFormer consistently achieves state-of-the-art performance, effectively mitigating the inherent drawbacks of linear models in capturing high-frequency components.
title ACFormer: Mitigating Non-linearity with Auto Convolutional Encoder for Time Series Forecasting
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.20611