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Autori principali: Tie, Ruian, Xiong, Wenbo, Shi, Zhengyu, Su, Xinyu, jiang, Chenyu, Wu, Libo, Li, Hao
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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Accesso online:https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.21760
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author Tie, Ruian
Xiong, Wenbo
Shi, Zhengyu
Su, Xinyu
jiang, Chenyu
Wu, Libo
Li, Hao
author_facet Tie, Ruian
Xiong, Wenbo
Shi, Zhengyu
Su, Xinyu
jiang, Chenyu
Wu, Libo
Li, Hao
contents Conventional supervised climate downscaling struggles to generalize to Global Climate Models (GCMs) due to the lack of paired training data and inherent domain gaps relative to reanalysis. Meanwhile, current zero-shot methods suffer from physical inconsistencies and vanishing gradient issues under large scaling factors. We propose Zero-Shot Statistical Downscaling (ZSSD), a zero-shot framework that performs statistical downscaling without paired data during training. ZSSD leverages a Physics-Consistent Climate Prior learned from reanalysis data, conditioned on geophysical boundaries and temporal information to enforce physical validity. Furthermore, to enable robust inference across varying GCMs, we introduce Unified Coordinate Guidance. This strategy addresses the vanishing gradient problem in vanilla DPS and ensures consistency with large-scale fields. Results show that ZSSD significantly outperforms existing zero-shot baselines in 99th percentile errors and successfully reconstructs complex weather events, such as tropical cyclones, across heterogeneous GCMs.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_21760
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Zero-Shot Statistical Downscaling via Diffusion Posterior Sampling
Tie, Ruian
Xiong, Wenbo
Shi, Zhengyu
Su, Xinyu
jiang, Chenyu
Wu, Libo
Li, Hao
Artificial Intelligence
Conventional supervised climate downscaling struggles to generalize to Global Climate Models (GCMs) due to the lack of paired training data and inherent domain gaps relative to reanalysis. Meanwhile, current zero-shot methods suffer from physical inconsistencies and vanishing gradient issues under large scaling factors. We propose Zero-Shot Statistical Downscaling (ZSSD), a zero-shot framework that performs statistical downscaling without paired data during training. ZSSD leverages a Physics-Consistent Climate Prior learned from reanalysis data, conditioned on geophysical boundaries and temporal information to enforce physical validity. Furthermore, to enable robust inference across varying GCMs, we introduce Unified Coordinate Guidance. This strategy addresses the vanishing gradient problem in vanilla DPS and ensures consistency with large-scale fields. Results show that ZSSD significantly outperforms existing zero-shot baselines in 99th percentile errors and successfully reconstructs complex weather events, such as tropical cyclones, across heterogeneous GCMs.
title Zero-Shot Statistical Downscaling via Diffusion Posterior Sampling
topic Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.21760