Mean-field Variational Bayes for Sparse Probit Regression

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Fasano, Augusto, Rebaudo, Giovanni
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author Fasano, Augusto
Rebaudo, Giovanni
author_facet Fasano, Augusto
Rebaudo, Giovanni
contents We consider Bayesian variable selection for binary outcomes under a probit link with a spike-and-slab prior on the regression coefficients. Motivated by the computational challenges encountered by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers in high-dimensional regimes, we develop a mean-field variational Bayes approximation in which all variational factors admit closed-form updates, and the evidence lower bound is available in closed form. This, in turn, allows the development of an efficient coordinate ascent variational inference algorithm to find the optimal values of the variational parameters. The approach produces posterior inclusion probabilities and parameter estimates, enabling interpretable selection and prediction within a single framework. As shown in both simulated and real data applications, the proposed method successfully identifies the important variables and is orders of magnitude faster than MCMC, while maintaining comparable accuracy.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_21765
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Mean-field Variational Bayes for Sparse Probit Regression
Fasano, Augusto
Rebaudo, Giovanni
Computation
Methodology
Machine Learning
We consider Bayesian variable selection for binary outcomes under a probit link with a spike-and-slab prior on the regression coefficients. Motivated by the computational challenges encountered by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers in high-dimensional regimes, we develop a mean-field variational Bayes approximation in which all variational factors admit closed-form updates, and the evidence lower bound is available in closed form. This, in turn, allows the development of an efficient coordinate ascent variational inference algorithm to find the optimal values of the variational parameters. The approach produces posterior inclusion probabilities and parameter estimates, enabling interpretable selection and prediction within a single framework. As shown in both simulated and real data applications, the proposed method successfully identifies the important variables and is orders of magnitude faster than MCMC, while maintaining comparable accuracy.
title Mean-field Variational Bayes for Sparse Probit Regression
topic Computation
Methodology
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.21765