Cover Image

Conformal Prediction for Generative Models via Adaptive Cluster-Based Density Estimation

Fuente: arXiv

Saved in:

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Yang, Qidong, Zhu, Qianyu Julie, Giezendanner, Jonathan, Marzouk, Youssef, Bates, Stephen, Wang, Sherrie
Format:	Preprint
Published:	2026
Subjects:	Machine Learning Artificial Intelligence Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
Online Access:	Acceder al recurso
Tags:	Add Tag No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!

Similar Items

Local Off-Grid Weather Forecasting with Multi-Modal Earth Observation Data
by: Yang, Qidong, et al.
Published: (2024)

Partial recovery of meter-scale surface weather
by: Giezendanner, Jonathan, et al.
Published: (2026)

Meteorologically-Informed Adaptive Conformal Prediction for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasting
by: Chen, Xuepeng, et al.
Published: (2025)

Uncertainty Quantification of Surrogate Models using Conformal Prediction
by: Gopakumar, Vignesh, et al.
Published: (2024)

Calibrated Conformal Prediction Intervals for Microphysical Process Rates
by: Simm, Miriam, et al.
Published: (2026)

Generative Diffusion Model-based Downscaling of Observed Sea Surface Height over Kuroshio Extension since 2000
by: Han, Qiuchang, et al.
Published: (2024)

Bayesian Deep Learning for Convective Initiation Nowcasting Uncertainty Estimation
by: Fan, Da, et al.
Published: (2025)

Improving Typhoon Predictions by Integrating Data-Driven Machine Learning Models with Physics Models Based on the Spectral Nudging and Data Assimilation
by: Niu, Zeyi, et al.
Published: (2024)

Harnessing AI data-driven global weather models for climate attribution: An analysis of the 2017 Oroville Dam extreme atmospheric river
by: Baño-Medina, Jorge, et al.
Published: (2024)

Data-driven Surface Solar Irradiance Estimation using Neural Operators at Global Scale
by: Carpentieri, Alberto, et al.
Published: (2024)

Research on Dangerous Flight Weather Prediction based on Machine Learning
by: Liu, Haoxing, et al.
Published: (2024)

A Deep Learning Model of Lightning Stroke Density
by: Jones II, Randall, et al.
Published: (2025)

WP-MIP: An Artificial Intelligence, Hybrid and Physically Based Model Intercomparison Project for Weather Prediction
by: McTaggart-Cowan, Ron, et al.
Published: (2026)

MODS: Multi-source Observations Conditional Diffusion Model for Meteorological State Downscaling
by: Tu, Siwei, et al.
Published: (2025)

Model underestimates of OH reactivity cause overestimate of hydrogen's climate impact
by: Yang, Laura H., et al.
Published: (2024)

Next-Generation Earth System Models: Towards Reliable Hybrid Models for Weather and Climate Applications
by: Beucler, Tom, et al.
Published: (2023)

Machine Learning (ML)-Physics Fusion Model Outperforms Both Physics-Only and ML-Only Models in Typhoon Predictions
by: Niu, Zeyi, et al.
Published: (2025)

Generative artificial intelligence improves projections of climate extremes
by: Tie, Ruian, et al.
Published: (2025)

ArchesClimate: Probabilistic Decadal Ensemble Generation With Flow Matching
by: Clyne, Graham, et al.
Published: (2025)

A Benchmark Dataset for Satellite-Based Estimation and Detection of Rain
by: Pfreundschuh, Simon, et al.
Published: (2025)

Climate-Adaptive and Cascade-Constrained Machine Learning Prediction for Sea Surface Height under Greenhouse Warming
by: Zheng, Tianmu, et al.
Published: (2025)

Towards NoahMP-AI: Enhancing Land Surface Model Prediction with Deep Learning
by: Mbarak, Mahmoud, et al.
Published: (2025)

Deep Learning Based Monthly Temperature Prediction for Jilin Province: A Multi Model Comparative Study 2000 2026
by: Deng, Xingyue, et al.
Published: (2026)

Predicting Beyond Training Data via Extrapolation versus Translocation: AI Weather Models and Dubai's Unprecedented 2024 Rainfall
by: Sun, Y. Qiang, et al.
Published: (2025)

DAWP: A framework for global observation forecasting via Data Assimilation and Weather Prediction in satellite observation space
by: Gong, Junchao, et al.
Published: (2025)

A Data-Driven Regional Model for Skillful Medium-Range Typhoon Prediction
by: Niu, Zeyi, et al.
Published: (2026)

Characteristics and Predictive Modeling of Short-term Impacts of Hurricanes on the US Employment
by: Zhang, Gan, et al.
Published: (2023)

Error Growth Dynamic and Predictability of Tropical Cyclone in Machine Learning Weather Prediction Model
by: Pu, Jingchen, et al.
Published: (2026)

Graph Convolutional Neural Networks as Surrogate Models for Climate Simulation
by: Potter, Kevin, et al.
Published: (2024)

Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Heat Index in Selected U.S. Cities
by: Han, Yushan, et al.
Published: (2026)

Downscaling weather forecasts from Low- to High-Resolution with Diffusion Models
by: Brazidec, Joffrey Dumont Le, et al.
Published: (2026)

High-Resolution Probabilistic Data-Driven Weather Modeling with a Stretched-Grid
by: Nordhagen, Even Marius, et al.
Published: (2025)

Forecasting the Future with Yesterday's Climate: Temperature Bias in AI Weather and Climate Models
by: Landsberg, Jacob B., et al.
Published: (2025)

Estimating changes in extreme quantiles over time, applied to desert temperatures
by: Leach, Callum, et al.
Published: (2026)

WADEPre: A Wavelet-based Decomposition Model for Extreme Precipitation Nowcasting with Multi-Scale Learning
by: Liu, Baitian, et al.
Published: (2026)

Multidecadal forcing of European windstorm losses in CMIP6-DAMIP models
by: Cusack, Stephen
Published: (2025)

BiXiao: An AI-Based Atmospheric Environment Forecasting Model Using Discontinuous Grids
by: Ji, Shengxuan, et al.
Published: (2025)

Revisiting the Dynamical Properties of Pedlosky's Two-Layer Model for Finite Amplitude Baroclinic Waves
by: De Ro, Nicolas, et al.
Published: (2026)

Assimilating Observed Surface Pressure into ML Weather Prediction Models
by: Slivinski, Laura C., et al.
Published: (2024)

Deep learning the sources of MJO predictability: a spectral view of learned features
by: Yao, Lin, et al.
Published: (2025)