It's all In the (Exponential) Family: An Equivalence between Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Control Variates for Sketching Algorithms

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Kang, Keegan, Wang, Kerong, Zhang, Ding, Pratap, Rameshwar, Verma, Bhisham Dev, Wong, Benedict H. W.
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2026
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author Kang, Keegan
Wang, Kerong
Zhang, Ding
Pratap, Rameshwar
Verma, Bhisham Dev
Wong, Benedict H. W.
author_facet Kang, Keegan
Wang, Kerong
Zhang, Ding
Pratap, Rameshwar
Verma, Bhisham Dev
Wong, Benedict H. W.
contents Maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) and control variate estimators (CVE) have been used in conjunction with known information across sketching algorithms and applications in machine learning. We prove that under certain conditions in an exponential family, an optimal CVE will achieve the same asymptotic variance as the MLE, giving an Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm for the MLE. Experiments show the EM algorithm is faster and numerically stable compared to other root finding algorithms for the MLE for the bivariate Normal distribution, and we expect this to hold across distributions satisfying these conditions. We show how the EM algorithm leads to reproducibility for algorithms using MLE / CVE, and demonstrate how the EM algorithm leads to finding the MLE when the CV weights are known.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_22378
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle It's all In the (Exponential) Family: An Equivalence between Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Control Variates for Sketching Algorithms
Kang, Keegan
Wang, Kerong
Zhang, Ding
Pratap, Rameshwar
Verma, Bhisham Dev
Wong, Benedict H. W.
Machine Learning
Applications
Maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) and control variate estimators (CVE) have been used in conjunction with known information across sketching algorithms and applications in machine learning. We prove that under certain conditions in an exponential family, an optimal CVE will achieve the same asymptotic variance as the MLE, giving an Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm for the MLE. Experiments show the EM algorithm is faster and numerically stable compared to other root finding algorithms for the MLE for the bivariate Normal distribution, and we expect this to hold across distributions satisfying these conditions. We show how the EM algorithm leads to reproducibility for algorithms using MLE / CVE, and demonstrate how the EM algorithm leads to finding the MLE when the CV weights are known.
title It's all In the (Exponential) Family: An Equivalence between Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Control Variates for Sketching Algorithms
topic Machine Learning
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.22378