Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Preprint |
| Published: |
2026
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.23030 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
Table of Contents:
- Inference in nonlinear continuous stochastic processes on trees is challenging, particularly when observations are sparse and the topology is complex. Exact smoothing via Doob's $h$-transform is intractable for general nonlinear dynamics. We propose Neural Backward Filtering Forward Guiding (NBFFG), a unified framework for both discrete transitions and continuous diffusions. Our method constructs a variational posterior by leveraging a proxy linear-Gaussian process. This proxy process yields a closed-form backward filter that serves as a guide, steering the generative path toward high-likelihood regions. We then learn a neural residual to capture the non-linear discrepancies. This formulation allows for an unbiased pathwise subsampling scheme, reducing the training complexity from tree-size dependent to path-length dependent. Empirical results show that NBFFG outperforms baselines on synthetic benchmarks, and we demonstrate the method on a high-dimensional inference task in phylogenetic analysis with reconstruction of ancestral butterfly wing shapes.