Sequence Diffusion Model for Temporal Link Prediction in Continuous-Time Dynamic Graph

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Autori principali: Duc, Nguyen Minh, Ta, Viet Cuong
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author Duc, Nguyen Minh
Ta, Viet Cuong
author_facet Duc, Nguyen Minh
Ta, Viet Cuong
contents Temporal link prediction in dynamic graphs is a fundamental problem in many real-world systems. Existing temporal graph neural networks mainly focus on learning representations of historical interactions. Despite their strong performance, these models are still purely discriminative, producing point estimates for future links and lacking an explicit mechanism to capture the uncertainty and sequential structure of future temporal interactions. In this paper, we propose SDG, a novel sequence-level diffusion framework that unifies dynamic graph learning with generative denoising. Specifically, SDG injects noise into the entire historical interaction sequence and jointly reconstructs all interaction embeddings through a conditional denoising process, thereby enabling the model to capture more comprehensive interaction distributions. To align the generative process with temporal link prediction, we employ a cross-attention denoising decoder to guide the reconstruction of the destination sequence and optimize the model in an end-to-end manner. Extensive experiments on various temporal graph benchmarks show that SDG consistently achieves state-of-the-art performance in the temporal link prediction task.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_23233
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Sequence Diffusion Model for Temporal Link Prediction in Continuous-Time Dynamic Graph
Duc, Nguyen Minh
Ta, Viet Cuong
Machine Learning
Temporal link prediction in dynamic graphs is a fundamental problem in many real-world systems. Existing temporal graph neural networks mainly focus on learning representations of historical interactions. Despite their strong performance, these models are still purely discriminative, producing point estimates for future links and lacking an explicit mechanism to capture the uncertainty and sequential structure of future temporal interactions. In this paper, we propose SDG, a novel sequence-level diffusion framework that unifies dynamic graph learning with generative denoising. Specifically, SDG injects noise into the entire historical interaction sequence and jointly reconstructs all interaction embeddings through a conditional denoising process, thereby enabling the model to capture more comprehensive interaction distributions. To align the generative process with temporal link prediction, we employ a cross-attention denoising decoder to guide the reconstruction of the destination sequence and optimize the model in an end-to-end manner. Extensive experiments on various temporal graph benchmarks show that SDG consistently achieves state-of-the-art performance in the temporal link prediction task.
title Sequence Diffusion Model for Temporal Link Prediction in Continuous-Time Dynamic Graph
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.23233