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Main Author: Hoyl, Matias
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.00034
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author Hoyl, Matias
author_facet Hoyl, Matias
contents Educational assessment relies heavily on knowing question difficulty, traditionally determined through resource-intensive pre-testing with students. This creates significant barriers for both classroom teachers and assessment developers. We investigate whether Item Response Theory (IRT) difficulty parameters can be accurately estimated without student testing by modeling the response process and explore the relative contribution of different feature types to prediction accuracy. Our approach combines traditional linguistic features with pedagogical insights extracted using Large Language Models (LLMs), including solution step count, cognitive complexity, and potential misconceptions. We implement a two-stage process: first training a neural network to predict how students would respond to questions, then deriving difficulty parameters from these simulated response patterns. Using a dataset of over 250,000 student responses to mathematics questions, our model achieves a Pearson correlation of approximately 0.78 between predicted and actual difficulty parameters on completely unseen questions.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_00034
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Synthetic Student Responses: LLM-Extracted Features for IRT Difficulty Parameter Estimation
Hoyl, Matias
Computers and Society
Artificial Intelligence
I.2.7; K.3.1
Educational assessment relies heavily on knowing question difficulty, traditionally determined through resource-intensive pre-testing with students. This creates significant barriers for both classroom teachers and assessment developers. We investigate whether Item Response Theory (IRT) difficulty parameters can be accurately estimated without student testing by modeling the response process and explore the relative contribution of different feature types to prediction accuracy. Our approach combines traditional linguistic features with pedagogical insights extracted using Large Language Models (LLMs), including solution step count, cognitive complexity, and potential misconceptions. We implement a two-stage process: first training a neural network to predict how students would respond to questions, then deriving difficulty parameters from these simulated response patterns. Using a dataset of over 250,000 student responses to mathematics questions, our model achieves a Pearson correlation of approximately 0.78 between predicted and actual difficulty parameters on completely unseen questions.
title Synthetic Student Responses: LLM-Extracted Features for IRT Difficulty Parameter Estimation
topic Computers and Society
Artificial Intelligence
I.2.7; K.3.1
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.00034