Forecasting Energy Availability in Local Energy Communities via LSTM Federated Learning

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Turazza, Fabio, Pietri, Marcello, Hadjidimitriou, Natalia Selini, Mamei, Marco
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2026
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author Turazza, Fabio
Pietri, Marcello
Hadjidimitriou, Natalia Selini
Mamei, Marco
author_facet Turazza, Fabio
Pietri, Marcello
Hadjidimitriou, Natalia Selini
Mamei, Marco
contents Local Energy Communities are emerging as crucial players in the landscape of sustainable development. A significant challenge for these communities is achieving self-sufficiency through effective management of the balance between energy production and consumption. To meet this challenge, it is essential to develop and implement forecasting models that deliver accurate predictions, which can then be utilized by optimization and planning algorithms. However, the application of forecasting solutions is often hindered by privacy constrains and regulations as the users participating in the Local Energy Community can be (rightfully) reluctant sharing their consumption patterns with others. In this context, the use of Federated Learning (FL) can be a viable solution as it allows to create a forecasting model without the need to share privacy sensitive information among the users. In this study, we demonstrate how FL and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks can be employed to achieve this objective, highlighting the trade-off between data sharing and forecasting accuracy.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_00694
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Forecasting Energy Availability in Local Energy Communities via LSTM Federated Learning
Turazza, Fabio
Pietri, Marcello
Hadjidimitriou, Natalia Selini
Mamei, Marco
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing
Local Energy Communities are emerging as crucial players in the landscape of sustainable development. A significant challenge for these communities is achieving self-sufficiency through effective management of the balance between energy production and consumption. To meet this challenge, it is essential to develop and implement forecasting models that deliver accurate predictions, which can then be utilized by optimization and planning algorithms. However, the application of forecasting solutions is often hindered by privacy constrains and regulations as the users participating in the Local Energy Community can be (rightfully) reluctant sharing their consumption patterns with others. In this context, the use of Federated Learning (FL) can be a viable solution as it allows to create a forecasting model without the need to share privacy sensitive information among the users. In this study, we demonstrate how FL and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks can be employed to achieve this objective, highlighting the trade-off between data sharing and forecasting accuracy.
title Forecasting Energy Availability in Local Energy Communities via LSTM Federated Learning
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.00694