Learning to Guide Local Search for MPE Inference in Probabilistic Graphical Models

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Malhotra, Brij, Arya, Shivvrat, Rahman, Tahrima, Gogate, Vibhav Giridhar
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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author Malhotra, Brij
Arya, Shivvrat
Rahman, Tahrima
Gogate, Vibhav Giridhar
author_facet Malhotra, Brij
Arya, Shivvrat
Rahman, Tahrima
Gogate, Vibhav Giridhar
contents Most Probable Explanation (MPE) inference in Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGMs) is a fundamental yet computationally challenging problem arising in domains such as diagnosis, planning, and structured prediction. In many practical settings, the graphical model remains fixed while inference must be performed repeatedly for varying evidence patterns. Stochastic Local Search (SLS) algorithms scale to large models but rely on myopic best-improvement rule that prioritizes immediate likelihood gains and often stagnate in poor local optima. Heuristics such as Guided Local Search (GLS+) partially alleviate this limitation by modifying the search landscape, but their guidance cannot be reused effectively across multiple inference queries on the same model. We propose a neural amortization framework for improving local search in this repeated-query regime. Exploiting the fixed graph structure, we train an attention-based network to score local moves by predicting their ability to reduce Hamming distance to a near-optimal solution. Our approach integrates seamlessly with existing local search procedures, using this signal to balance short-term likelihood gains with long-term promise during neighbor selection. We provide theoretical intuition linking distance-reducing move selection to improved convergence behavior, and empirically demonstrate consistent improvements over SLS and GLS+ on challenging high-treewidth benchmarks in the amortized inference setting.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_01475
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Learning to Guide Local Search for MPE Inference in Probabilistic Graphical Models
Malhotra, Brij
Arya, Shivvrat
Rahman, Tahrima
Gogate, Vibhav Giridhar
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
Most Probable Explanation (MPE) inference in Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGMs) is a fundamental yet computationally challenging problem arising in domains such as diagnosis, planning, and structured prediction. In many practical settings, the graphical model remains fixed while inference must be performed repeatedly for varying evidence patterns. Stochastic Local Search (SLS) algorithms scale to large models but rely on myopic best-improvement rule that prioritizes immediate likelihood gains and often stagnate in poor local optima. Heuristics such as Guided Local Search (GLS+) partially alleviate this limitation by modifying the search landscape, but their guidance cannot be reused effectively across multiple inference queries on the same model. We propose a neural amortization framework for improving local search in this repeated-query regime. Exploiting the fixed graph structure, we train an attention-based network to score local moves by predicting their ability to reduce Hamming distance to a near-optimal solution. Our approach integrates seamlessly with existing local search procedures, using this signal to balance short-term likelihood gains with long-term promise during neighbor selection. We provide theoretical intuition linking distance-reducing move selection to improved convergence behavior, and empirically demonstrate consistent improvements over SLS and GLS+ on challenging high-treewidth benchmarks in the amortized inference setting.
title Learning to Guide Local Search for MPE Inference in Probabilistic Graphical Models
topic Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.01475