Lightcurve Modelling of 2,205 ZTF DR2 Type~Ia Supernovae: Implications for SN Ia Physics and Cosmology
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2026
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| author | Sarin, Nikhil Lindsjö, Ellen Kelsey, Lisa Grayling, Matthew Sollerman, Jesper Schulze, Steve Miller, Adam Ginolin, Madeleine Hayes, Erin Omand, Conor Mandel, Kaisey Do, Aaron Dhawan, Suhail Johansson, Joel |
| author_facet | Sarin, Nikhil Lindsjö, Ellen Kelsey, Lisa Grayling, Matthew Sollerman, Jesper Schulze, Steve Miller, Adam Ginolin, Madeleine Hayes, Erin Omand, Conor Mandel, Kaisey Do, Aaron Dhawan, Suhail Johansson, Joel |
| contents | We fit the multi-band light curves of 2,205 Type Ia supernovae (SNe~Ia) from the Zwicky Transient Facility DR2 with a one-zone radioactive decay model with a phenomenological addition to include Fe recombination physics. We find a strong correlation between inferred nickel mass and SALT2 stretch, which within our simplified modelling is linked to larger ejecta masses providing longer diffusion times, providing a physical basis for the brighter-slower relation. SN~Ia in low-mass hosts ($\log_{10}(M_*/M_\odot) < 10$) produce $12\%$ more $^{56}$Ni than those in high-mass hosts ($ΔM_{\rm Ni} = 0.13~M_\odot$), linking the host-galaxy mass step to ejecta properties and hinting at metallicity or age-dependent burning efficiencies. This suggests that standardisation based on physical parameters may remove the mass-step. SN~1991T-like events show higher ejecta masses (median $1.64~M_\odot$ vs. $1.38~M_\odot$ for normals) and produce $30\%$ more $^{56}$Ni, with $84\%$ having super-Chandrasekhar masses. Through Hierarchical modelling of $902$ SNe ($z \leq 0.06$), we find thermonuclear supernovae can be well described by a Gaussian distribution in ejecta mass and nickel mass with $μ_{\rm ej} = 1.26 \pm 0.01~M_\odot$ ($σ_{\rm ej} = 0.33 \pm 0.01~M_\odot$) and $μ_{\rm Ni} = 0.64 \pm 0.06~M_\odot$ ($σ_{\rm Ni} = 0.42 \pm 0.02~M_\odot$), respectively. This leads to inferred fractions of $43 \pm 2\%$ sub-$M_{\rm Ch}$ ($<1.2~M_\odot$), $34 \pm 1\%$ near-$M_{\rm Ch}$ ($1.2$--$1.5~M_\odot$), and $24 \pm 2\%$ super-$M_{\rm Ch}$ ($>1.5~M_\odot$) events. This work provides a step towards holistic physical characterization of the local SN~Ia population, reinforcing the physical basis of SN~Ia standardization while quantifying diversity and environmental dependencies critical for understanding progenitor physics and mitigating systematics in precision cosmology. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_02677 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2026 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | Lightcurve Modelling of 2,205 ZTF DR2 Type~Ia Supernovae: Implications for SN Ia Physics and Cosmology Sarin, Nikhil Lindsjö, Ellen Kelsey, Lisa Grayling, Matthew Sollerman, Jesper Schulze, Steve Miller, Adam Ginolin, Madeleine Hayes, Erin Omand, Conor Mandel, Kaisey Do, Aaron Dhawan, Suhail Johansson, Joel High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena We fit the multi-band light curves of 2,205 Type Ia supernovae (SNe~Ia) from the Zwicky Transient Facility DR2 with a one-zone radioactive decay model with a phenomenological addition to include Fe recombination physics. We find a strong correlation between inferred nickel mass and SALT2 stretch, which within our simplified modelling is linked to larger ejecta masses providing longer diffusion times, providing a physical basis for the brighter-slower relation. SN~Ia in low-mass hosts ($\log_{10}(M_*/M_\odot) < 10$) produce $12\%$ more $^{56}$Ni than those in high-mass hosts ($ΔM_{\rm Ni} = 0.13~M_\odot$), linking the host-galaxy mass step to ejecta properties and hinting at metallicity or age-dependent burning efficiencies. This suggests that standardisation based on physical parameters may remove the mass-step. SN~1991T-like events show higher ejecta masses (median $1.64~M_\odot$ vs. $1.38~M_\odot$ for normals) and produce $30\%$ more $^{56}$Ni, with $84\%$ having super-Chandrasekhar masses. Through Hierarchical modelling of $902$ SNe ($z \leq 0.06$), we find thermonuclear supernovae can be well described by a Gaussian distribution in ejecta mass and nickel mass with $μ_{\rm ej} = 1.26 \pm 0.01~M_\odot$ ($σ_{\rm ej} = 0.33 \pm 0.01~M_\odot$) and $μ_{\rm Ni} = 0.64 \pm 0.06~M_\odot$ ($σ_{\rm Ni} = 0.42 \pm 0.02~M_\odot$), respectively. This leads to inferred fractions of $43 \pm 2\%$ sub-$M_{\rm Ch}$ ($<1.2~M_\odot$), $34 \pm 1\%$ near-$M_{\rm Ch}$ ($1.2$--$1.5~M_\odot$), and $24 \pm 2\%$ super-$M_{\rm Ch}$ ($>1.5~M_\odot$) events. This work provides a step towards holistic physical characterization of the local SN~Ia population, reinforcing the physical basis of SN~Ia standardization while quantifying diversity and environmental dependencies critical for understanding progenitor physics and mitigating systematics in precision cosmology. |
| title | Lightcurve Modelling of 2,205 ZTF DR2 Type~Ia Supernovae: Implications for SN Ia Physics and Cosmology |
| topic | High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.02677 |