SweetSpot: An Analytical Model for Predicting Energy Efficiency of LLM Inference

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Cavagna, Hiari Pizzini, Proia, Andrea, Madella, Giacomo, Esposito, Giovanni B., Antici, Francesco, Cesarini, Daniele, Kiziltan, Zeynep, Bartolini, Andrea
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author Cavagna, Hiari Pizzini
Proia, Andrea
Madella, Giacomo
Esposito, Giovanni B.
Antici, Francesco
Cesarini, Daniele
Kiziltan, Zeynep
Bartolini, Andrea
author_facet Cavagna, Hiari Pizzini
Proia, Andrea
Madella, Giacomo
Esposito, Giovanni B.
Antici, Francesco
Cesarini, Daniele
Kiziltan, Zeynep
Bartolini, Andrea
contents Large Language Models (LLMs) inference is central to modern AI applications, dominating worldwide datacenter workloads, making it critical to predict its energy footprint. Existing approaches estimate energy consumption as a simple linear function of input and output sequence. However, by analyzing the autoregressive structure of Transformers, which implies a fundamentally non-linear relationship between input and output sequence lengths and energy consumption, we demonstrate the existence of a generation energy minima. Peak efficiency occurs with short-to-moderate inputs and medium-length outputs, while efficiency drops sharply for long inputs or very short outputs. Consequently, we propose SweetSpot, an analytical model derived from the computational and memory-access complexity of the Transformer architecture, which accurately characterizes the efficiency curve as a function of input and output lengths. To assess accuracy, we measure energy consumption using TensorRT-LLM on NVIDIA H100 GPUs across a diverse set of LLMs ranging from 1B to 9B parameters, including OPT, LLaMA, Gemma, Falcon, Qwen2, and Granite. We test input and output lengths from 64 to 4096 tokens and achieve a mean MAPE of 1.79%. Our results show that aligning sequence lengths with these efficiency "sweet spots" reduce energy usage, up to 33.41x, enabling informed truncation, summarization, and adaptive generation strategies in production systems.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_05695
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle SweetSpot: An Analytical Model for Predicting Energy Efficiency of LLM Inference
Cavagna, Hiari Pizzini
Proia, Andrea
Madella, Giacomo
Esposito, Giovanni B.
Antici, Francesco
Cesarini, Daniele
Kiziltan, Zeynep
Bartolini, Andrea
Artificial Intelligence
Performance
Large Language Models (LLMs) inference is central to modern AI applications, dominating worldwide datacenter workloads, making it critical to predict its energy footprint. Existing approaches estimate energy consumption as a simple linear function of input and output sequence. However, by analyzing the autoregressive structure of Transformers, which implies a fundamentally non-linear relationship between input and output sequence lengths and energy consumption, we demonstrate the existence of a generation energy minima. Peak efficiency occurs with short-to-moderate inputs and medium-length outputs, while efficiency drops sharply for long inputs or very short outputs. Consequently, we propose SweetSpot, an analytical model derived from the computational and memory-access complexity of the Transformer architecture, which accurately characterizes the efficiency curve as a function of input and output lengths. To assess accuracy, we measure energy consumption using TensorRT-LLM on NVIDIA H100 GPUs across a diverse set of LLMs ranging from 1B to 9B parameters, including OPT, LLaMA, Gemma, Falcon, Qwen2, and Granite. We test input and output lengths from 64 to 4096 tokens and achieve a mean MAPE of 1.79%. Our results show that aligning sequence lengths with these efficiency "sweet spots" reduce energy usage, up to 33.41x, enabling informed truncation, summarization, and adaptive generation strategies in production systems.
title SweetSpot: An Analytical Model for Predicting Energy Efficiency of LLM Inference
topic Artificial Intelligence
Performance
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.05695