Principled Confidence Estimation for Deep Computed Tomography

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Gätzner, Matteo, Kirschner, Johannes
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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author Gätzner, Matteo
Kirschner, Johannes
author_facet Gätzner, Matteo
Kirschner, Johannes
contents We present a principled framework for confidence estimation in computed tomography (CT) reconstruction. Based on the sequential likelihood mixing framework (Kirschner et al., 2025), we establish confidence regions with theoretical coverage guarantees for deep-learning-based CT reconstructions. We consider a realistic forward model following the Beer-Lambert law, i.e., a log-linear forward model with Poisson noise, closely reflecting clinical and scientific imaging conditions. The framework is general and applies to both classical algorithms and deep learning reconstruction methods, including U-Nets, U-Net ensembles, and generative Diffusion models. Empirically, we demonstrate that deep reconstruction methods yield substantially tighter confidence regions than classical reconstructions, without sacrificing theoretical coverage guarantees. Our approach allows the detection of hallucinations in reconstructed images and provides interpretable visualizations of confidence regions. This establishes deep models not only as powerful estimators, but also as reliable tools for uncertainty-aware medical imaging.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_05812
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Principled Confidence Estimation for Deep Computed Tomography
Gätzner, Matteo
Kirschner, Johannes
Machine Learning
We present a principled framework for confidence estimation in computed tomography (CT) reconstruction. Based on the sequential likelihood mixing framework (Kirschner et al., 2025), we establish confidence regions with theoretical coverage guarantees for deep-learning-based CT reconstructions. We consider a realistic forward model following the Beer-Lambert law, i.e., a log-linear forward model with Poisson noise, closely reflecting clinical and scientific imaging conditions. The framework is general and applies to both classical algorithms and deep learning reconstruction methods, including U-Nets, U-Net ensembles, and generative Diffusion models. Empirically, we demonstrate that deep reconstruction methods yield substantially tighter confidence regions than classical reconstructions, without sacrificing theoretical coverage guarantees. Our approach allows the detection of hallucinations in reconstructed images and provides interpretable visualizations of confidence regions. This establishes deep models not only as powerful estimators, but also as reliable tools for uncertainty-aware medical imaging.
title Principled Confidence Estimation for Deep Computed Tomography
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.05812