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Main Authors: Qing, Kunhai, Ren, Xinru, Xu, Jin, Yu, Menggang
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.07468
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author Qing, Kunhai
Ren, Xinru
Xu, Jin
Yu, Menggang
author_facet Qing, Kunhai
Ren, Xinru
Xu, Jin
Yu, Menggang
contents Multi-Regional Clinical Trials (MRCTs) play a central role in the development of new therapies by enabling the simultaneous evaluation of drug efficacy and safety across diverse global populations. Assessing the consistency of treatment effects across regions is a fundamental aspect of MRCTs. Existing methods typically focus on region-specific marginal treatment effects. However, when treatment effect heterogeneity arises due to effect-modifying baseline covariates, distributional differences in these covariates can lead to erroneous conclusions. In this paper, we explicitly account for this phenomenon in the consistency assessment by considering the conditional average treatment effect. We propose a two-step assessment strategy that complements existing methods and mitigates the impact of treatment effect heterogeneity. Results from numerical studies demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_07468
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Consistency Assessment of Regional Treatment Effect for Multi-Regional Clinical Trials in the Presence of Covariate Shift
Qing, Kunhai
Ren, Xinru
Xu, Jin
Yu, Menggang
Applications
Multi-Regional Clinical Trials (MRCTs) play a central role in the development of new therapies by enabling the simultaneous evaluation of drug efficacy and safety across diverse global populations. Assessing the consistency of treatment effects across regions is a fundamental aspect of MRCTs. Existing methods typically focus on region-specific marginal treatment effects. However, when treatment effect heterogeneity arises due to effect-modifying baseline covariates, distributional differences in these covariates can lead to erroneous conclusions. In this paper, we explicitly account for this phenomenon in the consistency assessment by considering the conditional average treatment effect. We propose a two-step assessment strategy that complements existing methods and mitigates the impact of treatment effect heterogeneity. Results from numerical studies demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.
title Consistency Assessment of Regional Treatment Effect for Multi-Regional Clinical Trials in the Presence of Covariate Shift
topic Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.07468