Bayesian inference for tidal heating with extreme mass ratio inspirals

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Xia, Zhong-Wu, Long, Sheng, Pan, Qiyuan, Jing, Jiliang, Qian, Wei-Liang
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2026
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author Xia, Zhong-Wu
Long, Sheng
Pan, Qiyuan
Jing, Jiliang
Qian, Wei-Liang
author_facet Xia, Zhong-Wu
Long, Sheng
Pan, Qiyuan
Jing, Jiliang
Qian, Wei-Liang
contents Extreme mass ratio inspirals (EMRIs) provide unique probes of near-horizon dissipation through the tidal heating. We present a full Bayesian analysis of tidal heating in equatorial eccentric EMRIs by performing injection-recovery studies and inferring posterior constraints on the reflectivity parameter $|\mathcal{R}|^2$ while sampling in the full EMRI parameter space. We find that in the strong-field regime the posterior uncertainties are smaller, indicating a stronger constraining capability on the tidal heating. Using two-year signals with an optimal signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) of $ρ=50$, EMRIs can put bounds on $|\mathcal{R}|^2$ at the level of $10^{-3}$--$ 10^{-4}$ for a rapidly spinning central object. Moreover, we show that neglecting the tidal heating can induce clear systematic biases in the intrinsic parameters of the EMRI system. These results establish EMRIs as promising precision probes for detecting and constraining black hole event horizons.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_11039
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Bayesian inference for tidal heating with extreme mass ratio inspirals
Xia, Zhong-Wu
Long, Sheng
Pan, Qiyuan
Jing, Jiliang
Qian, Wei-Liang
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
High Energy Physics - Theory
Extreme mass ratio inspirals (EMRIs) provide unique probes of near-horizon dissipation through the tidal heating. We present a full Bayesian analysis of tidal heating in equatorial eccentric EMRIs by performing injection-recovery studies and inferring posterior constraints on the reflectivity parameter $|\mathcal{R}|^2$ while sampling in the full EMRI parameter space. We find that in the strong-field regime the posterior uncertainties are smaller, indicating a stronger constraining capability on the tidal heating. Using two-year signals with an optimal signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) of $ρ=50$, EMRIs can put bounds on $|\mathcal{R}|^2$ at the level of $10^{-3}$--$ 10^{-4}$ for a rapidly spinning central object. Moreover, we show that neglecting the tidal heating can induce clear systematic biases in the intrinsic parameters of the EMRI system. These results establish EMRIs as promising precision probes for detecting and constraining black hole event horizons.
title Bayesian inference for tidal heating with extreme mass ratio inspirals
topic General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
High Energy Physics - Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.11039