Mechanistic Evidence for Faithfulness Decay in Chain-of-Thought Reasoning

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Ye, Donald, Loffgren, Max, Kotadia, Om, Wong, Linus
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author Ye, Donald
Loffgren, Max
Kotadia, Om
Wong, Linus
author_facet Ye, Donald
Loffgren, Max
Kotadia, Om
Wong, Linus
contents Chain-of-Thought (CoT) explanations are widely used to interpret how language models solve complex problems, yet it remains unclear whether these step-by-step explanations reflect how the model actually reaches its answer, or merely post-hoc justifications. We propose Normalized Logit Difference Decay (NLDD), a metric that measures whether individual reasoning steps are faithful to the model's decision-making process. Our approach corrupts individual reasoning steps from the explanation and measures how much the model's confidence in its answer drops, to determine if a step is truly important. By standardizing these measurements, NLDD enables rigorous cross-model comparison across different architectures. Testing three model families across syntactic, logical, and arithmetic tasks, we discover a consistent Reasoning Horizon (k*) at 70--85% of chain length, beyond which reasoning tokens have little or negative effect on the final answer. We also find that models can encode correct internal representations while completely failing the task. These results show that accuracy alone does not reveal whether a model actually reasons through its chain. NLDD offers a way to measure when CoT matters.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_11201
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Mechanistic Evidence for Faithfulness Decay in Chain-of-Thought Reasoning
Ye, Donald
Loffgren, Max
Kotadia, Om
Wong, Linus
Computation and Language
Chain-of-Thought (CoT) explanations are widely used to interpret how language models solve complex problems, yet it remains unclear whether these step-by-step explanations reflect how the model actually reaches its answer, or merely post-hoc justifications. We propose Normalized Logit Difference Decay (NLDD), a metric that measures whether individual reasoning steps are faithful to the model's decision-making process. Our approach corrupts individual reasoning steps from the explanation and measures how much the model's confidence in its answer drops, to determine if a step is truly important. By standardizing these measurements, NLDD enables rigorous cross-model comparison across different architectures. Testing three model families across syntactic, logical, and arithmetic tasks, we discover a consistent Reasoning Horizon (k*) at 70--85% of chain length, beyond which reasoning tokens have little or negative effect on the final answer. We also find that models can encode correct internal representations while completely failing the task. These results show that accuracy alone does not reveal whether a model actually reasons through its chain. NLDD offers a way to measure when CoT matters.
title Mechanistic Evidence for Faithfulness Decay in Chain-of-Thought Reasoning
topic Computation and Language
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.11201