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Hauptverfasser: Liu, Yujing, Zheng, Xin, Liu, Zhixin, Guo, Lei
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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Online-Zugang:https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.11899
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author Liu, Yujing
Zheng, Xin
Liu, Zhixin
Guo, Lei
author_facet Liu, Yujing
Zheng, Xin
Liu, Zhixin
Guo, Lei
contents This paper investigates gradient-based adaptive prediction and control for nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems under a weak convexity condition on the prediction-based loss. This condition accommodates a broad range of nonlinear models in control and machine learning such as saturation functions, sigmoid, ReLU and tanh activation functions, and standard classification models. Without requiring any persistent excitation of the data, we establish global convergence of the proposed adaptive predictor and derive explicit rates for its asymptotic performance. Furthermore, under a classical nonlinear minimum-phase condition and with a linear growth bound on the nonlinearities, we establish the convergence rate of the resulting closed-loop control error. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed adaptive prediction algorithm on a real-world judicial sentencing dataset. The adaptive control performance will also be evaluated via a numerical simulation.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_11899
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Gradient-Based Adaptive Prediction and Control for Nonlinear Dynamical Systems
Liu, Yujing
Zheng, Xin
Liu, Zhixin
Guo, Lei
Systems and Control
This paper investigates gradient-based adaptive prediction and control for nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems under a weak convexity condition on the prediction-based loss. This condition accommodates a broad range of nonlinear models in control and machine learning such as saturation functions, sigmoid, ReLU and tanh activation functions, and standard classification models. Without requiring any persistent excitation of the data, we establish global convergence of the proposed adaptive predictor and derive explicit rates for its asymptotic performance. Furthermore, under a classical nonlinear minimum-phase condition and with a linear growth bound on the nonlinearities, we establish the convergence rate of the resulting closed-loop control error. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed adaptive prediction algorithm on a real-world judicial sentencing dataset. The adaptive control performance will also be evaluated via a numerical simulation.
title Gradient-Based Adaptive Prediction and Control for Nonlinear Dynamical Systems
topic Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.11899