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Main Authors: Bressan, Marco, Brukhim, Nataly, Cesa-Bianchi, Nicolo, Esposito, Emmanuel, Mansour, Yishay, Moran, Shay, Thiessen, Maximilian
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.11920
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author Bressan, Marco
Brukhim, Nataly
Cesa-Bianchi, Nicolo
Esposito, Emmanuel
Mansour, Yishay
Moran, Shay
Thiessen, Maximilian
author_facet Bressan, Marco
Brukhim, Nataly
Cesa-Bianchi, Nicolo
Esposito, Emmanuel
Mansour, Yishay
Moran, Shay
Thiessen, Maximilian
contents We introduce the problem of learning conditional averages in the PAC framework. The learner receives a sample labeled by an unknown target concept from a known concept class, as in standard PAC learning. However, instead of learning the target concept itself, the goal is to predict, for each instance, the average label over its neighborhood -- an arbitrary subset of points that contains the instance. In the degenerate case where all neighborhoods are singletons, the problem reduces exactly to classic PAC learning. More generally, it extends PAC learning to a setting that captures learning tasks arising in several domains, including explainability, fairness, and recommendation systems. Our main contribution is a complete characterization of when conditional averages are learnable, together with sample complexity bounds that are tight up to logarithmic factors. The characterization hinges on the joint finiteness of two novel combinatorial parameters, which depend on both the concept class and the neighborhood system, and are closely related to the independence number of the associated neighborhood graph.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_11920
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Learning Conditional Averages
Bressan, Marco
Brukhim, Nataly
Cesa-Bianchi, Nicolo
Esposito, Emmanuel
Mansour, Yishay
Moran, Shay
Thiessen, Maximilian
Machine Learning
We introduce the problem of learning conditional averages in the PAC framework. The learner receives a sample labeled by an unknown target concept from a known concept class, as in standard PAC learning. However, instead of learning the target concept itself, the goal is to predict, for each instance, the average label over its neighborhood -- an arbitrary subset of points that contains the instance. In the degenerate case where all neighborhoods are singletons, the problem reduces exactly to classic PAC learning. More generally, it extends PAC learning to a setting that captures learning tasks arising in several domains, including explainability, fairness, and recommendation systems. Our main contribution is a complete characterization of when conditional averages are learnable, together with sample complexity bounds that are tight up to logarithmic factors. The characterization hinges on the joint finiteness of two novel combinatorial parameters, which depend on both the concept class and the neighborhood system, and are closely related to the independence number of the associated neighborhood graph.
title Learning Conditional Averages
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.11920