Is cosmic birefringence due to dark energy or dark matter? Simulation-based inference

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Autori principali: Carralot, Florie, Diego-Palazuelos, Patricia, Duivenvoorden, Adriaan J., Komatsu, Eiichiro, Krachmalnicoff, Nicoletta, Baccigalupi, Carlo
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author Carralot, Florie
Diego-Palazuelos, Patricia
Duivenvoorden, Adriaan J.
Komatsu, Eiichiro
Krachmalnicoff, Nicoletta
Baccigalupi, Carlo
author_facet Carralot, Florie
Diego-Palazuelos, Patricia
Duivenvoorden, Adriaan J.
Komatsu, Eiichiro
Krachmalnicoff, Nicoletta
Baccigalupi, Carlo
contents Simulation-based inference (SBI) is a powerful inference technique for cases where the exact functional form of the likelihood is not known. A prime example is the likelihood of cross-correlation power spectra of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) fields at low multipoles, $\ell\lesssim 10$. In this paper, we investigate a parity-violating cross-correlation between $E$- and $B$- mode polarization fields using SBI. The $EB$ correlation at low $\ell$ is essential to distinguish between possible axion dark energy and dark matter interpretations of `cosmic birefringence', a rotation of the plane of linear polarization of the CMB, recently reported from WMAP, Planck, and Atacama Cosmology Telescope data. We use neural likelihood estimation to infer the likelihood of the $EB$ correlation at low $\ell$ and show that it is highly non-Gaussian. We then employ neural posterior estimation to constrain the scalar field mass ($m_ϕ$), the cosmic birefringence amplitude ($gϕ_\mathrm{in}/2$), and the instrumental miscalibration angle ($α$), from simulated datasets. We find that the posterior on $m_ϕ$ shows two regimes, with a transition marked by $10^{-32}$ eV, highlighting a strong sensitivity to the scale dependence of cosmic birefringence. To quantify this behavior, we compute the probability $p(m_ϕ < 10^{-32}$ eV) for various fiducial values of $m_ϕ$. We find that $α$ and the contribution of lensed $B$ modes ultimately limit our ability to exclude the dark energy scenario fully.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_12019
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Is cosmic birefringence due to dark energy or dark matter? Simulation-based inference
Carralot, Florie
Diego-Palazuelos, Patricia
Duivenvoorden, Adriaan J.
Komatsu, Eiichiro
Krachmalnicoff, Nicoletta
Baccigalupi, Carlo
Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
Simulation-based inference (SBI) is a powerful inference technique for cases where the exact functional form of the likelihood is not known. A prime example is the likelihood of cross-correlation power spectra of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) fields at low multipoles, $\ell\lesssim 10$. In this paper, we investigate a parity-violating cross-correlation between $E$- and $B$- mode polarization fields using SBI. The $EB$ correlation at low $\ell$ is essential to distinguish between possible axion dark energy and dark matter interpretations of `cosmic birefringence', a rotation of the plane of linear polarization of the CMB, recently reported from WMAP, Planck, and Atacama Cosmology Telescope data. We use neural likelihood estimation to infer the likelihood of the $EB$ correlation at low $\ell$ and show that it is highly non-Gaussian. We then employ neural posterior estimation to constrain the scalar field mass ($m_ϕ$), the cosmic birefringence amplitude ($gϕ_\mathrm{in}/2$), and the instrumental miscalibration angle ($α$), from simulated datasets. We find that the posterior on $m_ϕ$ shows two regimes, with a transition marked by $10^{-32}$ eV, highlighting a strong sensitivity to the scale dependence of cosmic birefringence. To quantify this behavior, we compute the probability $p(m_ϕ < 10^{-32}$ eV) for various fiducial values of $m_ϕ$. We find that $α$ and the contribution of lensed $B$ modes ultimately limit our ability to exclude the dark energy scenario fully.
title Is cosmic birefringence due to dark energy or dark matter? Simulation-based inference
topic Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.12019