Scale and Capacity Limits in Decentralized FDA Food-Safety Enforcement

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1. Verfasser: Tchuente, Guy
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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author Tchuente, Guy
author_facet Tchuente, Guy
contents This paper asks whether regulatory monitoring exhibits nonlinear capacity limits as the scale and complexity of the regulated environment increase. Using a county--year panel of U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) inspections merged with local establishment counts, we identify a sharp breakpoint: beyond a threshold scale, severe inspection findings rise while inspection effort per establishment flattens or declines. The threshold and the post-break deterioration vary across food-related industry groups and shift with proxies for local density and connectedness, consistent with monitoring becoming ``too big to monitor" in more interconnected production environments rather than driven by simple reallocation or delay. Methodologically, we provide a portable breakpoint selection and piecewise-estimation framework that can be applied to other enforcement settings.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_12392
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Scale and Capacity Limits in Decentralized FDA Food-Safety Enforcement
Tchuente, Guy
General Economics
Economics
This paper asks whether regulatory monitoring exhibits nonlinear capacity limits as the scale and complexity of the regulated environment increase. Using a county--year panel of U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) inspections merged with local establishment counts, we identify a sharp breakpoint: beyond a threshold scale, severe inspection findings rise while inspection effort per establishment flattens or declines. The threshold and the post-break deterioration vary across food-related industry groups and shift with proxies for local density and connectedness, consistent with monitoring becoming ``too big to monitor" in more interconnected production environments rather than driven by simple reallocation or delay. Methodologically, we provide a portable breakpoint selection and piecewise-estimation framework that can be applied to other enforcement settings.
title Scale and Capacity Limits in Decentralized FDA Food-Safety Enforcement
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.12392