S2SServiceBench: A Multimodal Benchmark for Last-Mile S2S Climate Services

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Li, Chenyue, Deng, Wen, Sun, Zhuotao, Jin, Mengxi, Cui, Hanzhe, Li, Han, Li, Shentong, Yu, Man Kit, Lai, Ming Long, Yang, Yuhao, Lu, Mengqian, Yuan, Binhang
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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author Li, Chenyue
Deng, Wen
Sun, Zhuotao
Jin, Mengxi
Cui, Hanzhe
Li, Han
Li, Shentong
Yu, Man Kit
Lai, Ming Long
Yang, Yuhao
Lu, Mengqian
Yuan, Binhang
author_facet Li, Chenyue
Deng, Wen
Sun, Zhuotao
Jin, Mengxi
Cui, Hanzhe
Li, Han
Li, Shentong
Yu, Man Kit
Lai, Ming Long
Yang, Yuhao
Lu, Mengqian
Yuan, Binhang
contents Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasts play an essential role in providing a decision-critical weeks-to-months planning window for climate resilience and sustainability, yet a growing bottleneck is the last-mile gap: translating scientific forecasts into trusted, actionable climate services, requiring reliable multimodal understanding and decision-facing reasoning under uncertainty. Meanwhile, multimodal large language models (MLLMs) and corresponding agentic paradigms have made rapid progress in supporting various workflows, but it remains unclear whether they can reliably generate decision-making deliverables from operational service products (e.g., actionable signal comprehension, decision-making handoff, and decision analysis & planning) under uncertainty. We introduce S2SServiceBench, a multimodal benchmark for last-mile S2S climate services curated from an operational climate-service system to evaluate this capability. S2SServiceBenchcovers 10 service products with about 150+ expert-selected cases in total, spanning six application domains - Agriculture, Disasters, Energy, Finance, Health, and Shipping. Each case is instantiated at three service levels, yielding around 500 tasks and 1,000+ evaluation items across climate resilience and sustainability applications. Using S2SServiceBench, we benchmark state-of-the-art MLLMs and agents, and analyze performance across products and service levels, revealing persistent challenges in S2S service plot understanding and reasoning - namely, actionable signal comprehension, operationalizing uncertainty into executable handoffs, and stable, evidence-grounded analysis and planning for dynamic hazards-while offering actionable guidance for building future climate-service agents.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_14017
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle S2SServiceBench: A Multimodal Benchmark for Last-Mile S2S Climate Services
Li, Chenyue
Deng, Wen
Sun, Zhuotao
Jin, Mengxi
Cui, Hanzhe
Li, Han
Li, Shentong
Yu, Man Kit
Lai, Ming Long
Yang, Yuhao
Lu, Mengqian
Yuan, Binhang
Machine Learning
Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasts play an essential role in providing a decision-critical weeks-to-months planning window for climate resilience and sustainability, yet a growing bottleneck is the last-mile gap: translating scientific forecasts into trusted, actionable climate services, requiring reliable multimodal understanding and decision-facing reasoning under uncertainty. Meanwhile, multimodal large language models (MLLMs) and corresponding agentic paradigms have made rapid progress in supporting various workflows, but it remains unclear whether they can reliably generate decision-making deliverables from operational service products (e.g., actionable signal comprehension, decision-making handoff, and decision analysis & planning) under uncertainty. We introduce S2SServiceBench, a multimodal benchmark for last-mile S2S climate services curated from an operational climate-service system to evaluate this capability. S2SServiceBenchcovers 10 service products with about 150+ expert-selected cases in total, spanning six application domains - Agriculture, Disasters, Energy, Finance, Health, and Shipping. Each case is instantiated at three service levels, yielding around 500 tasks and 1,000+ evaluation items across climate resilience and sustainability applications. Using S2SServiceBench, we benchmark state-of-the-art MLLMs and agents, and analyze performance across products and service levels, revealing persistent challenges in S2S service plot understanding and reasoning - namely, actionable signal comprehension, operationalizing uncertainty into executable handoffs, and stable, evidence-grounded analysis and planning for dynamic hazards-while offering actionable guidance for building future climate-service agents.
title S2SServiceBench: A Multimodal Benchmark for Last-Mile S2S Climate Services
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.14017