Computable Bernstein Certificates for Cross-Fitted Clipped Covariance Estimation

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: He, Even, Yan, Zaizai
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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author He, Even
Yan, Zaizai
author_facet He, Even
Yan, Zaizai
contents We study operator-norm covariance estimation from heavy-tailed samples that may include a small fraction of arbitrary outliers. A simple and widely used safeguard is \emph{Euclidean norm clipping}, but its accuracy depends critically on an unknown clipping level. We propose a cross-fitted clipped covariance estimator equipped with \emph{fully computable} Bernstein-type deviation certificates, enabling principled data-driven tuning via a selector (\emph{MinUpper}) that balances certified stochastic error and a robust hold-out proxy for clipping bias. The resulting procedure adapts to intrinsic complexity measures such as effective rank under mild tail regularity and retains meaningful guarantees under only finite fourth moments. Experiments on contaminated spiked-covariance benchmarks illustrate stable performance and competitive accuracy across regimes.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_14020
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Computable Bernstein Certificates for Cross-Fitted Clipped Covariance Estimation
He, Even
Yan, Zaizai
Machine Learning
We study operator-norm covariance estimation from heavy-tailed samples that may include a small fraction of arbitrary outliers. A simple and widely used safeguard is \emph{Euclidean norm clipping}, but its accuracy depends critically on an unknown clipping level. We propose a cross-fitted clipped covariance estimator equipped with \emph{fully computable} Bernstein-type deviation certificates, enabling principled data-driven tuning via a selector (\emph{MinUpper}) that balances certified stochastic error and a robust hold-out proxy for clipping bias. The resulting procedure adapts to intrinsic complexity measures such as effective rank under mild tail regularity and retains meaningful guarantees under only finite fourth moments. Experiments on contaminated spiked-covariance benchmarks illustrate stable performance and competitive accuracy across regimes.
title Computable Bernstein Certificates for Cross-Fitted Clipped Covariance Estimation
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.14020