Conditions for Bacterial Selection and Extinction Driven by Growth-Kill Trade-Off in Cyclic Antimicrobial Treatments

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Martínez-López, Nerea, Nordholt, Niclas, Schreiber, Frank, García, Míriam R.
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2026
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author Martínez-López, Nerea
Nordholt, Niclas
Schreiber, Frank
García, Míriam R.
author_facet Martínez-López, Nerea
Nordholt, Niclas
Schreiber, Frank
García, Míriam R.
contents Antimicrobial protocols - using substances such as antibiotics or disinfectants - remain the preferred option for preventing the spread of pathogenic bacteria. However, bacteria can develop mechanisms to reduce their antimicrobial susceptibility, which can lead to treatment failure and the selection of resistance or tolerance. In this work, we propose a minimal population dynamics model to study bacterial selection during cyclic antimicrobial application, a commonly used protocol. Selection in bacterial populations with heterogeneous antimicrobial susceptibility is modelled here as a trade-off between survival advantage (reduction in antimicrobial killing) and potential fitness costs (reduction in growth rate) of the less susceptible strains. The proposed model allows us to derive useful expressions for determining the success of cyclic antimicrobial treatments based on two bacterial traits: growth and kill rates. The results obtained here are directly applicable to preventing the selection and spread of resistant and tolerant bacterial strains in real-life protocols.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_14645
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Conditions for Bacterial Selection and Extinction Driven by Growth-Kill Trade-Off in Cyclic Antimicrobial Treatments
Martínez-López, Nerea
Nordholt, Niclas
Schreiber, Frank
García, Míriam R.
Populations and Evolution
Antimicrobial protocols - using substances such as antibiotics or disinfectants - remain the preferred option for preventing the spread of pathogenic bacteria. However, bacteria can develop mechanisms to reduce their antimicrobial susceptibility, which can lead to treatment failure and the selection of resistance or tolerance. In this work, we propose a minimal population dynamics model to study bacterial selection during cyclic antimicrobial application, a commonly used protocol. Selection in bacterial populations with heterogeneous antimicrobial susceptibility is modelled here as a trade-off between survival advantage (reduction in antimicrobial killing) and potential fitness costs (reduction in growth rate) of the less susceptible strains. The proposed model allows us to derive useful expressions for determining the success of cyclic antimicrobial treatments based on two bacterial traits: growth and kill rates. The results obtained here are directly applicable to preventing the selection and spread of resistant and tolerant bacterial strains in real-life protocols.
title Conditions for Bacterial Selection and Extinction Driven by Growth-Kill Trade-Off in Cyclic Antimicrobial Treatments
topic Populations and Evolution
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.14645