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Main Authors: Zhan, Yue, Zheng, Cheng, Zhang, Ying
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.14991
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author Zhan, Yue
Zheng, Cheng
Zhang, Ying
author_facet Zhan, Yue
Zheng, Cheng
Zhang, Ying
contents Huntington's disease (HD) is an autosomal dominant neurodegenerative disorder characterized by motor dysfunction, psychiatric disturbances, and cognitive decline. The onset of HD is marked by severe motor impairment, which may be predicted by prior cognitive decline and, in turn, exacerbate cognitive deficits. Clinical data, however, are often collected at discrete time points, so the timing of disease onset is subject to interval censoring. To address the challenges posed by such data, we develop a joint model for multivariate longitudinal biomarkers with a change point anchored at an interval-censored event time. The model simultaneously assesses the effects of longitudinal biomarkers on the event time and the changes in biomarker trajectories following the event. We conduct a comprehensive simulation study to demonstrate the finite-sample performance of the proposed method for causal inference. Finally, we apply the method to PREDICT-HD, a multisite observational cohort study of prodromal HD individuals, to ascertain how cognitive impairment and motor dysfunction interact during disease progression.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_14991
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Joint analysis for multivariate longitudinal and event time data with a change point anchored at interval-censored event time
Zhan, Yue
Zheng, Cheng
Zhang, Ying
Methodology
Huntington's disease (HD) is an autosomal dominant neurodegenerative disorder characterized by motor dysfunction, psychiatric disturbances, and cognitive decline. The onset of HD is marked by severe motor impairment, which may be predicted by prior cognitive decline and, in turn, exacerbate cognitive deficits. Clinical data, however, are often collected at discrete time points, so the timing of disease onset is subject to interval censoring. To address the challenges posed by such data, we develop a joint model for multivariate longitudinal biomarkers with a change point anchored at an interval-censored event time. The model simultaneously assesses the effects of longitudinal biomarkers on the event time and the changes in biomarker trajectories following the event. We conduct a comprehensive simulation study to demonstrate the finite-sample performance of the proposed method for causal inference. Finally, we apply the method to PREDICT-HD, a multisite observational cohort study of prodromal HD individuals, to ascertain how cognitive impairment and motor dysfunction interact during disease progression.
title Joint analysis for multivariate longitudinal and event time data with a change point anchored at interval-censored event time
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.14991