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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Koptev, Pavel, Kumar, Vishnu, Malkov, Konstantin, Shapiro, George, Vikhanov, Yury
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.15248
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Table of Contents:
  • Invoice or payment dilution is the gap between the approved invoice amount and the actual collection is a significant source of non credit risk and margin loss in supply chain finance. Traditionally, this risk is managed through the buyer's irrevocable payment undertaking (IPU), which commits to full payment without deductions. However, IPUs can hinder supply chain finance adoption, particularly among sub-invested grade buyers. A newer, data-driven methods use real-time dynamic credit limits, projecting dilution for each buyer-supplier pair in real-time. This paper introduces an AI, machine learning framework and evaluates how that can supplement a deterministic algorithm to predict invoice dilution using extensive production dataset across nine key transaction fields.