MoDE-Boost: Boosting Shared Mobility Demand with Edge-Ready Prediction Models

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Tziorvas, Antonios, Theodoropoulos, George S., Theodoridis, Yannis
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2026
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author Tziorvas, Antonios
Theodoropoulos, George S.
Theodoridis, Yannis
author_facet Tziorvas, Antonios
Theodoropoulos, George S.
Theodoridis, Yannis
contents Urban demand forecasting plays a critical role in optimizing routing, dispatching, and congestion management within Intelligent Transportation Systems. By leveraging data fusion and analytics techniques, traffic demand forecasting serves as a key intermediate measure for identifying emerging spatial and temporal demand patterns. In this paper, we tackle this challenge by proposing two gradient boosting model variations, one for classiffication and one for regression, both capable of generating demand forecasts at various temporal horizons, from 5 minutes up to one hour. Our overall approach effectively integrates temporal and contextual features, enabling accurate predictions that are essential for improving the efficiency of shared (micro-) mobility services. To evaluate its effectiveness, we utilize open shared mobility data derived from e-scooter and e-bike networks in five metropolitan areas. These real-world datasets allow us to compare our approach with state-of-the-art methods as well as a Generative AI-based model, demonstrating its effectiveness in capturing the complexities of modern urban mobility. Ultimately, our methodology offers novel insights on urban micro-mobility management, helping to tackle the challenges arising from rapid urbanization and thus, contributing to more sustainable, efficient, and livable cities.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_16573
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle MoDE-Boost: Boosting Shared Mobility Demand with Edge-Ready Prediction Models
Tziorvas, Antonios
Theodoropoulos, George S.
Theodoridis, Yannis
Machine Learning
Urban demand forecasting plays a critical role in optimizing routing, dispatching, and congestion management within Intelligent Transportation Systems. By leveraging data fusion and analytics techniques, traffic demand forecasting serves as a key intermediate measure for identifying emerging spatial and temporal demand patterns. In this paper, we tackle this challenge by proposing two gradient boosting model variations, one for classiffication and one for regression, both capable of generating demand forecasts at various temporal horizons, from 5 minutes up to one hour. Our overall approach effectively integrates temporal and contextual features, enabling accurate predictions that are essential for improving the efficiency of shared (micro-) mobility services. To evaluate its effectiveness, we utilize open shared mobility data derived from e-scooter and e-bike networks in five metropolitan areas. These real-world datasets allow us to compare our approach with state-of-the-art methods as well as a Generative AI-based model, demonstrating its effectiveness in capturing the complexities of modern urban mobility. Ultimately, our methodology offers novel insights on urban micro-mobility management, helping to tackle the challenges arising from rapid urbanization and thus, contributing to more sustainable, efficient, and livable cities.
title MoDE-Boost: Boosting Shared Mobility Demand with Edge-Ready Prediction Models
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.16573