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Main Authors: Moorhead, Althea V., Brown, Peter G., Campbell-Brown, Margaret D., Mazur, Michael J., Vida, Denis
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.16614
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author Moorhead, Althea V.
Brown, Peter G.
Campbell-Brown, Margaret D.
Mazur, Michael J.
Vida, Denis
author_facet Moorhead, Althea V.
Brown, Peter G.
Campbell-Brown, Margaret D.
Mazur, Michael J.
Vida, Denis
contents The distribution of meteor magnitudes is known to follow an exponential distribution, where the base of this distribution is called the population index. The distribution of observed magnitudes preserves this behavior, but is truncated by the detection threshold. If both the population index and detection threshold can be determined, observed meteor rates can be converted to fluxes and extrapolated to any desired brightness or size. We argue that the distribution of observed or instrumental meteor magnitudes is best modeled as an exponentially modified Gaussian (exGaussian) distribution. This is for three reasons: first, an exGaussian distribution is the natural result of random variations in detection threshold and/or post-detection measurement errors in magnitude. Second, an exGaussian distribution provides a better fit to the magnitude distribution than all other competing distributions in the literature; we demonstrate this using both a set of faint optical meteor magnitudes and a set of radar meteor echo amplitudes. Finally, the population index, mean detection threshold, and random variation/error terms are easily extracted from the best-fit parameters of an exGaussian distribution.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_16614
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Meteor statistics I: The distribution of instrumental magnitudes
Moorhead, Althea V.
Brown, Peter G.
Campbell-Brown, Margaret D.
Mazur, Michael J.
Vida, Denis
Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
The distribution of meteor magnitudes is known to follow an exponential distribution, where the base of this distribution is called the population index. The distribution of observed magnitudes preserves this behavior, but is truncated by the detection threshold. If both the population index and detection threshold can be determined, observed meteor rates can be converted to fluxes and extrapolated to any desired brightness or size. We argue that the distribution of observed or instrumental meteor magnitudes is best modeled as an exponentially modified Gaussian (exGaussian) distribution. This is for three reasons: first, an exGaussian distribution is the natural result of random variations in detection threshold and/or post-detection measurement errors in magnitude. Second, an exGaussian distribution provides a better fit to the magnitude distribution than all other competing distributions in the literature; we demonstrate this using both a set of faint optical meteor magnitudes and a set of radar meteor echo amplitudes. Finally, the population index, mean detection threshold, and random variation/error terms are easily extracted from the best-fit parameters of an exGaussian distribution.
title Meteor statistics I: The distribution of instrumental magnitudes
topic Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.16614