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Autori principali: Jacobs, Cassandra L., Grobol, Morgan
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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Accesso online:https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.17848
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author Jacobs, Cassandra L.
Grobol, Morgan
author_facet Jacobs, Cassandra L.
Grobol, Morgan
contents Recent work has shown that larger language models have better predictive power for eye movement and reading time data. While even the best models under-allocate probability mass to human responses, larger models assign higher-quality estimates of next tokens and their likelihood of production in cloze data because they are less sensitive to lexical co-occurrence statistics while being better aligned semantically to human cloze responses. The results provide support for the claim that the greater memorization capacity of larger models helps them guess more semantically appropriate words, but makes them less sensitive to low-level information that is relevant for word recognition.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_17848
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle On the scaling relationship between cloze probabilities and language model next-token prediction
Jacobs, Cassandra L.
Grobol, Morgan
Computation and Language
Recent work has shown that larger language models have better predictive power for eye movement and reading time data. While even the best models under-allocate probability mass to human responses, larger models assign higher-quality estimates of next tokens and their likelihood of production in cloze data because they are less sensitive to lexical co-occurrence statistics while being better aligned semantically to human cloze responses. The results provide support for the claim that the greater memorization capacity of larger models helps them guess more semantically appropriate words, but makes them less sensitive to low-level information that is relevant for word recognition.
title On the scaling relationship between cloze probabilities and language model next-token prediction
topic Computation and Language
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.17848