Understanding the Generalization of Bilevel Programming in Hyperparameter Optimization: A Tale of Bias-Variance Decomposition

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Zhou, Yubo, Shu, Jun, Liu, Junmin, Meng, Deyu
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2026
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author Zhou, Yubo
Shu, Jun
Liu, Junmin
Meng, Deyu
author_facet Zhou, Yubo
Shu, Jun
Liu, Junmin
Meng, Deyu
contents Gradient-based hyperparameter optimization (HPO) have emerged recently, leveraging bilevel programming techniques to optimize hyperparameter by estimating hypergradient w.r.t. validation loss. Nevertheless, previous theoretical works mainly focus on reducing the gap between the estimation and ground-truth (i.e., the bias), while ignoring the error due to data distribution (i.e., the variance), which degrades performance. To address this issue, we conduct a bias-variance decomposition for hypergradient estimation error and provide a supplemental detailed analysis of the variance term ignored by previous works. We also present a comprehensive analysis of the error bounds for hypergradient estimation. This facilitates an easy explanation of some phenomena commonly observed in practice, like overfitting to the validation set. Inspired by the derived theories, we propose an ensemble hypergradient strategy to reduce the variance in HPO algorithms effectively. Experimental results on tasks including regularization hyperparameter learning, data hyper-cleaning, and few-shot learning demonstrate that our variance reduction strategy improves hypergradient estimation. To explain the improved performance, we establish a connection between excess error and hypergradient estimation, offering some understanding of empirical observations.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_17947
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Understanding the Generalization of Bilevel Programming in Hyperparameter Optimization: A Tale of Bias-Variance Decomposition
Zhou, Yubo
Shu, Jun
Liu, Junmin
Meng, Deyu
Machine Learning
Gradient-based hyperparameter optimization (HPO) have emerged recently, leveraging bilevel programming techniques to optimize hyperparameter by estimating hypergradient w.r.t. validation loss. Nevertheless, previous theoretical works mainly focus on reducing the gap between the estimation and ground-truth (i.e., the bias), while ignoring the error due to data distribution (i.e., the variance), which degrades performance. To address this issue, we conduct a bias-variance decomposition for hypergradient estimation error and provide a supplemental detailed analysis of the variance term ignored by previous works. We also present a comprehensive analysis of the error bounds for hypergradient estimation. This facilitates an easy explanation of some phenomena commonly observed in practice, like overfitting to the validation set. Inspired by the derived theories, we propose an ensemble hypergradient strategy to reduce the variance in HPO algorithms effectively. Experimental results on tasks including regularization hyperparameter learning, data hyper-cleaning, and few-shot learning demonstrate that our variance reduction strategy improves hypergradient estimation. To explain the improved performance, we establish a connection between excess error and hypergradient estimation, offering some understanding of empirical observations.
title Understanding the Generalization of Bilevel Programming in Hyperparameter Optimization: A Tale of Bias-Variance Decomposition
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.17947