Inferring the population properties of galactic binaries from LISA's stochastic foreground

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: De Santi, Federico, Santini, Alessandro, Toubiana, Alexandre, Karnesis, Nikolaos, Gerosa, Davide
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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author De Santi, Federico
Santini, Alessandro
Toubiana, Alexandre
Karnesis, Nikolaos
Gerosa, Davide
author_facet De Santi, Federico
Santini, Alessandro
Toubiana, Alexandre
Karnesis, Nikolaos
Gerosa, Davide
contents Galactic binaries are expected to be the most numerous LISA sources and to produce a stochastic gravitational-wave foreground whose spectral shape encodes information about the underlying population. Extracting this information with standard hierarchical methods is challenging due to the high dimensionality of the problem and the computational cost of global-fit analyses. We present a simulation-based inference framework to measure the population properties of galactic binaries directly from the reconstructed foreground. Adopting an astrophysically agnostic parametrization in the observable space -- defined by signal amplitude, frequency, and frequency derivative -- we generate synthetic catalogs and foreground spectra using a global-fit-inspired subtraction algorithm. We then train a neural posterior estimator to map spectra to population parameters. We validate our method on simulated data and recover population parameters with good accuracy, including the total number of binaries. As a by-product, we present a GPU-accelerated version of the subtraction algorithm, which delivers a ~100X speed-up compared to previous implementations in the literature. Our results demonstrate that LISA's stochastic foreground alone carries significant information about the Galactic binary population and provide a practical step toward joint inference from resolved and unresolved sources.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_18560
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Inferring the population properties of galactic binaries from LISA's stochastic foreground
De Santi, Federico
Santini, Alessandro
Toubiana, Alexandre
Karnesis, Nikolaos
Gerosa, Davide
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
Galactic binaries are expected to be the most numerous LISA sources and to produce a stochastic gravitational-wave foreground whose spectral shape encodes information about the underlying population. Extracting this information with standard hierarchical methods is challenging due to the high dimensionality of the problem and the computational cost of global-fit analyses. We present a simulation-based inference framework to measure the population properties of galactic binaries directly from the reconstructed foreground. Adopting an astrophysically agnostic parametrization in the observable space -- defined by signal amplitude, frequency, and frequency derivative -- we generate synthetic catalogs and foreground spectra using a global-fit-inspired subtraction algorithm. We then train a neural posterior estimator to map spectra to population parameters. We validate our method on simulated data and recover population parameters with good accuracy, including the total number of binaries. As a by-product, we present a GPU-accelerated version of the subtraction algorithm, which delivers a ~100X speed-up compared to previous implementations in the literature. Our results demonstrate that LISA's stochastic foreground alone carries significant information about the Galactic binary population and provide a practical step toward joint inference from resolved and unresolved sources.
title Inferring the population properties of galactic binaries from LISA's stochastic foreground
topic High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.18560