The dynamics of innovation diffusion: A survey of Bass-type models

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Langrené, Nicolas, Liu, Rui, Wu, Xiangqin, Zhi, Tianhao
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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author Langrené, Nicolas
Liu, Rui
Wu, Xiangqin
Zhi, Tianhao
author_facet Langrené, Nicolas
Liu, Rui
Wu, Xiangqin
Zhi, Tianhao
contents This paper synthesises the existing research on the dynamics of innovation diffusion, with a focus on Bass-type models and their extensions. The theoretical foundation of innovation diffusion proposed by Rogers (1962) and the seminal work of Bass (1969) serve as a starting point for the analysis. We identify and examine various generalizations and stochastic extensions of the Bass model, including counting processes, diffusion processes, and uncertain processes, as well as parameter estimation techniques, from classical statistical techniques to more advanced techniques such as Bayesian filtering and metaheuristic optimisation. We finally explore alternative models of innovation diffusion, with a particular focus on agent-based models. This overview of the evolution of Bass-type models illustrates the progress made in innovation diffusion research over the past decades.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_19488
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The dynamics of innovation diffusion: A survey of Bass-type models
Langrené, Nicolas
Liu, Rui
Wu, Xiangqin
Zhi, Tianhao
General Economics
Economics
This paper synthesises the existing research on the dynamics of innovation diffusion, with a focus on Bass-type models and their extensions. The theoretical foundation of innovation diffusion proposed by Rogers (1962) and the seminal work of Bass (1969) serve as a starting point for the analysis. We identify and examine various generalizations and stochastic extensions of the Bass model, including counting processes, diffusion processes, and uncertain processes, as well as parameter estimation techniques, from classical statistical techniques to more advanced techniques such as Bayesian filtering and metaheuristic optimisation. We finally explore alternative models of innovation diffusion, with a particular focus on agent-based models. This overview of the evolution of Bass-type models illustrates the progress made in innovation diffusion research over the past decades.
title The dynamics of innovation diffusion: A survey of Bass-type models
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.19488