Automated selection of r for stationary and nonstationary models for r largest order statistics

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Hauptverfasser: Shin, Yire, Park, Jihong, Park, Jeong-Soo
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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author Shin, Yire
Park, Jihong
Park, Jeong-Soo
author_facet Shin, Yire
Park, Jihong
Park, Jeong-Soo
contents In generalized extreme value model for the r largest order statistics, denoted by rGEV, the selection of r is critical. The existing entropy difference test for selecting r is applicable to large sample. Another existing method (the score test with parametric bootstrap) is applicable to small sample, but computationally demanding. To address this problem for small sample, we propose a new method using a sequence of the goodness-of-fit tests based on the conditional cumulative distribution function (CCDF). The proposed CCDF test is easy to implement and computationally fast. The Cram{é}r-von Mises test was employed for the goodness-of-fit purpose. The proposed method is compared via Monte Carlo simulations with existing methods including the spacings, the score, and the entropy difference tests. The proposed CCDF test turned out to perform well for both small and large samples, comparable to the spacings and entropy difference tests. The utility of the proposed method is illustrated by an application to the r largest daily rainfall data in Korea. Additionally, we extended the existing methods and the CCDF test to a nonstationary rGEV model. Wide applicability of the proposed method are discussed.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2602_23909
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Automated selection of r for stationary and nonstationary models for r largest order statistics
Shin, Yire
Park, Jihong
Park, Jeong-Soo
Methodology
Computation
In generalized extreme value model for the r largest order statistics, denoted by rGEV, the selection of r is critical. The existing entropy difference test for selecting r is applicable to large sample. Another existing method (the score test with parametric bootstrap) is applicable to small sample, but computationally demanding. To address this problem for small sample, we propose a new method using a sequence of the goodness-of-fit tests based on the conditional cumulative distribution function (CCDF). The proposed CCDF test is easy to implement and computationally fast. The Cram{é}r-von Mises test was employed for the goodness-of-fit purpose. The proposed method is compared via Monte Carlo simulations with existing methods including the spacings, the score, and the entropy difference tests. The proposed CCDF test turned out to perform well for both small and large samples, comparable to the spacings and entropy difference tests. The utility of the proposed method is illustrated by an application to the r largest daily rainfall data in Korea. Additionally, we extended the existing methods and the CCDF test to a nonstationary rGEV model. Wide applicability of the proposed method are discussed.
title Automated selection of r for stationary and nonstationary models for r largest order statistics
topic Methodology
Computation
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.23909