Laplace Variational Inference for Bayesian Envelope Models

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Kim, Seunghyeon, Lee, Kwangmin, Park, Yeonhee
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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author Kim, Seunghyeon
Lee, Kwangmin
Park, Yeonhee
author_facet Kim, Seunghyeon
Lee, Kwangmin
Park, Yeonhee
contents Envelope models provide a sufficient dimension reduction framework for multivariate regression analysis. Bayesian inference for these models has been developed primarily using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. Specifically, Gibbs sampling and Metropolis-Hastings algorithms suffer from slow mixing and high computational cost. Although automatic differentiation variational inference (ADVI) has been explored for Bayesian envelope models, the resulting gradient-based optimization is often numerically unstable due to severe ill-conditioning of the posterior distribution. To address this issue, we propose a novel reparameterization of the posterior distribution that alleviates the ill-conditioning inherent in conventional variational approaches. Building on this reparameterization, we develop an efficient variational inference procedure. Since the resulting likelihood remains nonconjugate, we approximate the corresponding variational factor using a Laplace approximation within a coordinate-ascent variational inference (CAVI) framework. We establish theoretical results showing that, at each one-step coordinate update, the Laplace approximation error relative to the exact variational inference coordinate update converges to zero. Simulation studies and a real-data analysis demonstrate that the proposed method substantially improves computational efficiency while maintaining estimation accuracy and model-selection performance relative to existing approaches.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_00927
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Laplace Variational Inference for Bayesian Envelope Models
Kim, Seunghyeon
Lee, Kwangmin
Park, Yeonhee
Methodology
62F15, 62H12, 62J05
Envelope models provide a sufficient dimension reduction framework for multivariate regression analysis. Bayesian inference for these models has been developed primarily using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. Specifically, Gibbs sampling and Metropolis-Hastings algorithms suffer from slow mixing and high computational cost. Although automatic differentiation variational inference (ADVI) has been explored for Bayesian envelope models, the resulting gradient-based optimization is often numerically unstable due to severe ill-conditioning of the posterior distribution. To address this issue, we propose a novel reparameterization of the posterior distribution that alleviates the ill-conditioning inherent in conventional variational approaches. Building on this reparameterization, we develop an efficient variational inference procedure. Since the resulting likelihood remains nonconjugate, we approximate the corresponding variational factor using a Laplace approximation within a coordinate-ascent variational inference (CAVI) framework. We establish theoretical results showing that, at each one-step coordinate update, the Laplace approximation error relative to the exact variational inference coordinate update converges to zero. Simulation studies and a real-data analysis demonstrate that the proposed method substantially improves computational efficiency while maintaining estimation accuracy and model-selection performance relative to existing approaches.
title Laplace Variational Inference for Bayesian Envelope Models
topic Methodology
62F15, 62H12, 62J05
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.00927