SimAB: Simulating A/B Tests with Persona-Conditioned AI Agents for Rapid Design Evaluation

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Rieder, Tim, Schneider, Marian, Truss, Mario, Tsaplin, Vitaly, Rublea, Alina, Dere, Sinem, Sanz, Francisco Chicharro, Reiss, Tobias, Dogan, Mustafa Doga
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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author Rieder, Tim
Schneider, Marian
Truss, Mario
Tsaplin, Vitaly
Rublea, Alina
Dere, Sinem
Sanz, Francisco Chicharro
Reiss, Tobias
Dogan, Mustafa Doga
author_facet Rieder, Tim
Schneider, Marian
Truss, Mario
Tsaplin, Vitaly
Rublea, Alina
Dere, Sinem
Sanz, Francisco Chicharro
Reiss, Tobias
Dogan, Mustafa Doga
contents A/B testing is a standard method for validating design decisions, yet its reliance on real user traffic limits iteration speed and makes certain experiments impractical. We present SimAB, a system that reframes A/B testing as a fast, privacy-preserving simulation using persona-conditioned AI agents. Given design screenshots and a conversion goal, SimAB generates user personas, deploys them as agents that state their preference, aggregates results, and synthesizes rationales. Through a formative study with experimentation practitioners, we identified scenarios where traffic constraints hinder testing, including low-traffic pages, multi-variant comparisons, micro-optimizations, and privacy-sensitive contexts. Our design emphasizes speed, early feedback, actionable rationales, and audience specification. We evaluate SimAB against 47 historical A/B tests with known outcomes, achieving 67% overall accuracy, increasing to 83% for high-confidence cases. Additional experiments show robustness to naming and positional bias and demonstrate accuracy gains from personas. Practitioner feedback suggests that SimAB supports faster evaluation cycles and rapid screening of designs difficult to assess with traditional A/B tests.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_01024
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle SimAB: Simulating A/B Tests with Persona-Conditioned AI Agents for Rapid Design Evaluation
Rieder, Tim
Schneider, Marian
Truss, Mario
Tsaplin, Vitaly
Rublea, Alina
Dere, Sinem
Sanz, Francisco Chicharro
Reiss, Tobias
Dogan, Mustafa Doga
Human-Computer Interaction
Artificial Intelligence
Multiagent Systems
I.2.11; H.5.2
A/B testing is a standard method for validating design decisions, yet its reliance on real user traffic limits iteration speed and makes certain experiments impractical. We present SimAB, a system that reframes A/B testing as a fast, privacy-preserving simulation using persona-conditioned AI agents. Given design screenshots and a conversion goal, SimAB generates user personas, deploys them as agents that state their preference, aggregates results, and synthesizes rationales. Through a formative study with experimentation practitioners, we identified scenarios where traffic constraints hinder testing, including low-traffic pages, multi-variant comparisons, micro-optimizations, and privacy-sensitive contexts. Our design emphasizes speed, early feedback, actionable rationales, and audience specification. We evaluate SimAB against 47 historical A/B tests with known outcomes, achieving 67% overall accuracy, increasing to 83% for high-confidence cases. Additional experiments show robustness to naming and positional bias and demonstrate accuracy gains from personas. Practitioner feedback suggests that SimAB supports faster evaluation cycles and rapid screening of designs difficult to assess with traditional A/B tests.
title SimAB: Simulating A/B Tests with Persona-Conditioned AI Agents for Rapid Design Evaluation
topic Human-Computer Interaction
Artificial Intelligence
Multiagent Systems
I.2.11; H.5.2
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.01024